[KylieistBoi]

Originally posted by QueenBLadyG

And if it doesn't? There have been times where the frontrunner got overtaken because of a late push, word-of-mouth and ignored screeners finally being watched - influencing a change of mind and vote. Anything could happen.

It will. There is not another option that would appeal to everyone, the universality of La La Land, as well as it being an amazing movie, will help snatch it easily.

[fridayteenage]

Originally posted by Donquizote

Everyone knows Spotlight would win I mean the controversy surrounding that movie alone

"Everyone"? No. Lots and lots of people doubted it after its numerous losses. I was on the train the whole time tho.

Lettuce examine people snubbed with globe/bafta/sag this century:
Tilda Swinton - We Need To Talk About Kevin - No other Globe nom. No other Sag nom. No Oscar noms.
Marion Cotillard - Rust and Bone - No other Sag nom. Other Bafta/Globe nom was for foreign. 0 Oscar noms.
Emma Thompson - Saving Mr. Banks - No other Sag nom. No other Globe nom. Got a few tech Bafta noms, and 1 Oscar nom.
Zhang Ziyi – Memoirs of a Geisha - No other Sag nom. Did pretty well with techs actually. But she's East Asian, ew for AMPAS.
Helen Mirren - Hitchcock - No other Globe noms. No other Sag noms. 1 Makeup Bafta nom, 1 Oscar nom.
Tom Hanks - Captain Phillips - Did great; Abdi even won a Bafta. Weird year.
Jake Gyllenhaal - Nightcrawler - No other Globe noms. No other Sag noms. 1 Oscar nom.
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation: no other Globe nom, no other Bafta nom. Ensemble Sag nom shows what that's worth. 0 Oscar noms.

So barring a weird Tom Hanks situation, with him missing out on getting his first nom in 13 years in favor of Big Hit BP/BD Contenders American Hustle/Wolf of Wall Street whose leads still scored Bafta/Globe, we should be fairly certain of
Amy Adams - Arrival
Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea
Mahershala Ali - Moonlight
Jeff Bridges - Hell or High Water
Viola Davis - Fences
Andrew Garfield - Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling - La La Land
Naomie Harris - Moonlight
Nicole Kidman - Lion
Dev Patel - Lion
Emma Stone - La La Land
Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea
Hugh Grant - Florence Foster Jenkins
Meryl Streep - Florence Foster Jenkins

Viggo Mortensen could be an Idris Elba.
I'm not gonna predict it, but Portman missing does have precedent in Swinton, Thompson, Mirren, and maybe Cotillard.

[Donquizote]

The only time SAG got it wrong for this decade is Viola over Meryl for The Iron Lady. I am here for Natalie winning SAG but Emma taking that Oscar. It will be a kii

[MaRy]

[Nialler]

Spotlight had a worthy cause. Not saying that Moonlight isn't important but it's more of a personal story as opposed to exposing the church for abusing children.

[Donquizote]

Nnn poor Amy. It should have been her year if it wasn't for Emma and Isabelle She will finally win her Oscar though by the time she's 60++

[MaRy]

Originally posted by Donquizote

Nnn poor Amy. It should have been her year if it wasn't for Emma and Isabelle She will finally win her Oscar though by the time she's 60++

sis be afraid, be very afraid

[MaRy]

kate winslet only won 1 oscar at her 6th try? amy will pass her soon

[Donquizote]

Originally posted by MaRy

kate winslet only won 1 oscar at her 6th try? amy will pass her soon

But Academy loves Kate



I guess Amy can be compared to Diane. The one who will always get nominated for filling in the slot

[MaRy]

at least she starred in 2 hit movies and is a frontrunner this year, kate starred in that trash movie with all those big names but failed to make any impact, i guess her time has passed, good luck in retirement

[Donquizote]

Originally posted by MaRy

at least she starred in 2 hit movies and is a frontrunner this year, kate starred in that trash movie with all those big names but failed to make any impact, i guess her time has passed, good luck in retirement

How is she going to retire when she will get nominated again next year?

[MaRy]

Originally posted by Donquizote

How is she going to retire when she will get nominated again next year?

for what? she's making a film with justin timberlake, go figure

[Donquizote]

Originally posted by MaRy

for what? she's making a film with justin timberlake, go figure

For Woody Allen's movie

[MaRy]

Originally posted by Donquizote

For Woody Allen's movie

it think it will tank like collateral beauty, lack of starpower

[TheDreamer]

Let's stop this Amy Adams talk, she will get an Oscar, albeit an honorary one and that should be more than enough

[Donquizote]

Originally posted by MaRy

it think it will tank like collateral beauty, lack of starpower

At least Justin will get that Oscar first before Amy. It will be a kii if he does

[Donquizote]

Originally posted by TheDreamer

Let's stop this Amy Adams talk, she will get an Oscar, albeit an honorary one and that should be more than enough

Maybe for the Best Attendance Record. We shall see

[MaRy]

Originally posted by TheDreamer

Let's stop this Amy Adams talk, she will get an Oscar, albeit an honorary one and that should be more than enough

emma won't get any, so better than her

[Funhouse]

Originally posted by Donquizote

Maybe for the Best Attendance Record. We shall see

Only the Susan Lucci of film

[TheDreamer]

Originally posted by MaRy

emma won't get any, so better than her

No one is in a hurry to award Emma Watson so no one is bothered . The rightful Asian legend shall get her award next month tho