[Benzene]

Originally posted by jpow

After that Tuesday, Hillary would be at 1601 delegates, Bernie at 848 delegates.

Hillary would only need 782 delegates left to claim the nomination. Bernie would need 1535 delegates. At that point, Bernie would have to effectively win every state at around 65% to get to that total.

What's the percentage without super delegates?

[heckinglovato]

No, RatedG², Illinois is not safe for Clinton. It's a toss-up.

[MAKSIM]

Originally posted by Benzene

What's the percentage without super delegates?

Hillary would have 1118/2026 or 55% of the goal of pledged delegates

Bernie would have 846/2026 or 40% of the goal of pledged gelegates

[Reza]

Originally posted by jpow

Sander's goal is 326 delegates on Tuesday. Ohio only has 143 delegates, and if he wins by 1% he'd only get around 75 delegates versus 68 for Hillary.

That's what I was thinking. somebody's math doesn't add up.

[jpow]

Originally posted by Benzene

What's the percentage without super delegates?

Hillary is at 776
Bernie is at 551

The rest of my math is without super delegates, so after Tuesday,

Hillary would be at 1146
Bernie would be at 823

Hillary would be 48% there and Bernie would be 34% there.

fivethirtyeight says there is 4051 delegates to be won total, with 2383 needed for the nomination.
1969. After Tuesday, there would be 2,082 delegates left to be won. Bernie would need 1,560 of those delegates to get the nomination, or roughly 74% of the delegates left. Hillary would need 936 delegates to get the nomination, or roughly 44% of the delegates left.

[jpow]

Originally posted by heckinglovato

No, RatedG², Illinois is not safe for Clinton. It's a toss-up.

Both Illinois and Missouri could go to Bernie. At this point, it seems Ohio is safer for her than the other two.

[HeyMr.DJ]

Originally posted by MAKSIM

Thats with the assumption he stays pretty close in other states too. For example, keeping it 54-46 in Florida. 53-47 in North Carolina

Unfortunately, I definitely see Florida as a huge victory for Hillary.. Maybe 20-30% and NC may be close too. That's what really hurts sanders :/

[Benzene]

Don't buy IL as a Bernie win. At all. I've thought Bernie would win MO all along.

OH is the interesting wild card. I had this as a tie or narrow Bernie win, but if a significant number of independents vote Kasich, Hillary could win quite comfortably.

[Bey Admired]

Originally posted by Butters

This was good

[Damien M]

The GOP voters really have no brains lol. He's smart + likeable, what happened
Raised so many (true) points, about the media (called out CNN) enabling Trump's racism and violence

[heckinglovato]

My favorite TV ads by each campaign

[CannibalMonster]

Can you imagine if Sanders and Trump are the final two? It would be a UFC style mess at every campaign rally and debate

[RatedG²]

Originally posted by heckinglovato

No, RatedG², Illinois is not safe for Clinton. It's a toss-up.

We'll see Tuesday. It's safe

[HeyMr.DJ]

Originally posted by CannibalMonster

Can you imagine if Sanders and Trump are the final two? It would be a UFC style mess at every campaign rally and debate

It would be a disaster.

[HeyMr.DJ]

Originally posted by RatedG²

We'll see Tuesday. It's safe

I'll bookmark you hun

[TikiMiss]

Im gonna be bold and predict Bernie wins in Illinois, Missouri and Ohio on Tuesday. I just have a feelimg

[HeyMr.DJ]

Originally posted by TikiMiss

Im gonna be bold and predict Bernie wins in Illinois, Missouri and Ohio on Tuesday. I just have a feelimg

That's what I'm doing to. That way I won't be too upset if she doesn't win them!

[RatedG²]

Originally posted by HeyMr.DJ

I'll bookmark you hun

[Benzene]

Trump would destroy Bernie in a debate.

But Trump vs. Sanders would mean President Bloomberg, which I'm kind of here for.

[Benzene]

Arizona will be Hillary's last hurrah though for some time. Sanders is gonna rack up some wins before getting hit with reality again on 4/19 (NY) and 4/26 (MD, PA, DE, CT, RI).