Quote:
Originally posted by HeyMr.DJ
Lol that's not true. He could win Ohio, Illinois and Missouri by 2% each, but if Hillary wins Florida by 15% and NC by 20% he falls way behind. They would split the delegates in the first 3 states and she would take an overhaul from Florida and NC
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Quote:
Originally posted by Benzene
Huh? I'm confused.
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Sorry I should've specified. He is on track in OH if he wins it by 1%. But since he lost so many other states by bigger than expected margins he actually needs to do a lot better not only in OH but the other 4 states
Nate Silver has made a benchmark post of all of the states and the margin that Sanders has to win by to win the nomination (or lose states with a smaller margin than given). For this Tuesday, he has to
Win OH by at least 1%
Do better than a 0% loss in MO
Do better than 7% loss in NC
Do better than 8% loss in IL
Do better than 8% loss in FL
If he does those things he is on track to the nomination. But this was right after South Carolina these numbers were made and these numbers above only held if he met his goals in the previous states that voted after SC and before these states. He failed to reach the goal in most, if not all, of those states. So in actuality he has to do even better than these projected numbers
edit: I lied. These numbers were before SC, right after Nevada. Meaning it's even tougher than I imagined for him
