My prediction: KP4 and Joanne will perform similarly while the former will fail to reach 200K SPS first week. Katy will have a Top 5 hit but not a #1 - if she does, only for 3 weeks max. And maybe another Top 10 unless she pulls remixes and discounts.
I'm not very good at these things but then again, you don't see me predicting that Katy Perry is going to outdo Drake in 2016/17.
Would love to be proven wrong but I feel like KP4 will kinda be her Goodbye Lullaby era success-wise, she's waited way too long + Taylor kinda replaced her
The album will obviously be better than Joanne though, that's kind of a given since Katy is a lot more talented