Quote:
Originally posted by Talent
Could someone explain the numbers to me? Why are people saying there's no possible way for Sanders to win? And - don't judge me for not knowing, but - doesn't it come down to electoral college and NOT the popular vote?
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The Democratic presidential primaries have proportional delegate allocation, meaning you get your fair share of delegates based on your share of the popular vote. This means, and Jeff Weaver (Bernie's campaign manager) said this early on, that once you're behind in pledged delegates, you're really behind. Why? Because it makes it difficult to close in on the leader if the margin is large enough. So, take last night for instance. Bernie may have won, but he only gained FIVE more delegates than Hillary. Even though Bernie won outright, Hillary still gained a good number of delegates. So, because of this, for a while Bernie needed to win by MASSIVE margins in order to begin to catch up and he simply hasn't done it.
Now, the margin is so big, and there are so little delegates left that it's practically impossible for him to be able to beat her by large enough margins to actually win the pledged delegate majority.
Play around with this if you wanna get the idea:
http://demrace.com