Hillary is currently predicted to win Wisconsin right? That would be great since she has New York on lock (at least I assume).
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Originally posted by @michael
No Bernie is leading polling in Wisconsin
Actually the more reliable poll from last week has her ahead by 6. This one has him ahead by 5, but the poll isn't so trustworthy, and the margin of error is much bigger. So basically it's a toss up. If the AA population in Milwaukee comes through and some other white areas which she is capable of winning in, it'll be close. I think he can win, but not by 10-20 points which he needs.
Nate Silver's predictive model says Hillary's chances of winning Wisconsin is 64% likely.
It was in the 70s until that new poll. We need another one (from CNN or something) to get a more accurate analysis. The Republicans have so many out right now.
The whole superdelegate thing seems like something that would be found in the Republican party tbh. Shame if Sanders loses because of that whole concept.
The whole superdelegate thing seems like something that would be found in the Republican party tbh. Shame if Sanders loses because of that whole concept.
Actually the more reliable poll from last week has her ahead by 6. This one has him ahead by 5, but the poll isn't so trustworthy, and the margin of error is much bigger. So basically it's a toss up. If the AA population in Milwaukee comes through and some other white areas which she is capable of winning in, it'll be close. I think he can win, but not by 10-20 points which he needs.
The Marquette poll has him up by 4 and they are based in Wisconsin so I trust them on it
The whole superdelegate thing seems like something that would be found in the Republican party tbh. Shame if Sanders loses because of that whole concept.
Sir, Bernie will lose in pledged delegates and the popular vote. Super delegates have never and will never pick a candidate, and they haven't since the concept was created in the 70s.
The closest thing to them picking was in 08 which gave Obama the victory over Hillary although technically he still won by like 200+ delegates. Hillary will be 300-500+ delegates ahead. It's not a close race although some want you to think that.
Yes. Hillary is ahead by 260 pledged delegates. By the end of April it will be 400-500 pledged delegates and that will be the end (even though bernie will continue to compete in California).... Bernie will win Wisconsin by 5-10 points, but she will reap the delegates come April 19th- the end of the primary season. Bookmark me if you want.
Hillary currently has no events on April 2-5 (so far). I hope she campaigns in Wisconsin some more. I think she can get a win.
She just said in her interview with Rachel Maddow on MSNBC, she's heading back to Wisconsin this weekend to campaign. So event details should be coming soon.
It’s ironic that we complain about voter suppression and shortened voting times and then we have so many caucuses. The caucuses are the least democratic political operation in America. They cater to the people who have a lot of time on their hands, and what’s interesting is Sanders is the nominee of the caucuses and Hillary is the nominee of the primaries.
