Discussion: U.S. Election 2016: Primary Season - Page 1731

Marvin

Quote:

Originally posted by HeyMr.DJ

No one is going to stop Hillary. America is ready. America is with HER!

If you say so

hooky

Quote:

Originally posted by RihsusChrist(ATG)

Of course the commonsense GOP cadidate, with actual verifiable political accomplishment would.

I hope the GOP comes to their senses at the convention, and give the nomination to Kasich.

This is likely assuming a 2-person race, excluding the Libertarian and Green parties which are only relevant sometimes (i.e. 2000). If Kasich wins the nomination Trump will likely run third party, and will definitely result in a loss for the Republicans (possibly for Hillary as well, but it's a pretty small chance).

hooky

Quote:

Originally posted by HeyMr.DJ

No one is going to stop Hillary. America is ready. America is with HER!

Seems like a lot of voters are with Trump though.

ralani

i can't wait to see what the republican party does in the upcoming months regarding the nomination

Bloo

Quote:

Originally posted by hooky

Seems like a lot of voters are with Trump though.

Hillary has more votes than Trump, though.

Bloo

Quote:

Originally posted by hooky

Wrong, new voters could register up until today. Supposedly you could only change your party affiliation until October but I couldn't find an official election source on that.

You're right. My bad, but I tried finding a source and even voteforbernie.com says that the deadline to switch party affiliation has passed (though, they don't provide a date).

We'll see. Hillary is still sweeping NY.

Bloo

This is INCREDIBLY interesting.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...n-repeat-most/

Citrus

I haven't been as involved as I'd like to be lately, I've just got so much school work.

hooky

I don't know if this has been discussed, but it seems like Bernie does much better on Election Day in each state. Hillary sweeps early votes.

For example, NC was much closer on Election Day, 52-48 Clinton. Arizona was 50.2% to 49.8% Sanders with 17.3% of the vote counted. And don't forget everything that went down there, the result could have been much better for Bernie (or worse, I'm fine with either way as long as people get to vote). And the March 15 primaries were called instantly due to early voting, when the Election Day voting was much closer.

I'm not accusing Hillary or her team of rigging the primaries, but it's still something to look at. Why is Hillary blowing Bernie out in early voting, but Bernie is either close or wins on just Election Day? Is it because people who vote early tend to prefer Hillary? Is it because people like Hillary less or Bernie more by Election Day? Is there possibly some sort of scandal going on? I'm thinking people just like Bernie more as they hear more from him.

Source (which is clearly pro-Bernie but the data is there): http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-a...b_9528076.html

The article brings up the time when early vote totals are released. They're released right when the polls close rather than after all the other votes are counted, so Hillary is seen as the immediate winner most of the time. However, if they release them after, then we get to see the Election Day totals first, which would help everyone see how well Bernie is doing right now rather than weeks or months ago. But since the votes are already counted, they should be released ASAP, right?

Temporal

Quote:

Originally posted by Bloo

This is INCREDIBLY interesting.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...n-repeat-most/

Their entire site is fascinating. I wondered what Hillary's phrases would be, since I don't know her stump speech like the back of my hand with Sanders, so this is really interesting for me.

hooky

Quote:

Originally posted by Bloo

Hillary has more votes than Trump, though.

Mainly because there's been more candidates

tbf I think enough Republicans could flip to prevent a Trump presidency.

Bloo

Quote:

Originally posted by hooky

Mainly because there's been more candidates

tbf I think enough Republicans could flip to prevent a Trump presidency.

I'm literally talking to a Republican friend and he's all for Hillary if Kasich doesn't get the nomination. At least to the people I've spoken to (and my state is very Republican-heavy), many people I know will vote purely against Trump.

hooky

Quote:

Originally posted by Bloo

This is INCREDIBLY interesting.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...n-repeat-most/

Agreed. Hillary seems to generally be explaining why she should be the President while Bernie is bringing up issues that are very important.

alexanderao

Quote:

Originally posted by Temporal

Their entire site is fascinating. I wondered what Hillary's phrases would be, since I don't know her stump speech like the back of my hand with Sanders, so this is really interesting for me.

Well, the 538 analysis is only based on debates. Stump speeches might differ a little.

Bloo

Quote:

Originally posted by Temporal

Their entire site is fascinating. I wondered what Hillary's phrases would be, since I don't know her stump speech like the back of my hand with Sanders, so this is really interesting for me.

I was interested in how much higher Bernie's numbers were.

Citrus

Quote:

Originally posted by hooky

I don't know if this has been discussed, but it seems like Bernie does much better on Election Day in each state. Hillary sweeps early votes.

For example, NC was much closer on Election Day, 52-48 Clinton. Arizona was 50.2% to 49.8% Sanders with 17.3% of the vote counted. And don't forget everything that went down there, the result could have been much better for Bernie (or worse, I'm fine with either way as long as people get to vote). And the March 15 primaries were called instantly due to early voting, when the Election Day voting was much closer.

I'm not accusing Hillary or her team of rigging the primaries, but it's still something to look at. Why is Hillary blowing Bernie out in early voting, but Bernie is either close or wins on just Election Day? Is it because people who vote early tend to prefer Hillary? Is it because people like Hillary less or Bernie more by Election Day? Is there possibly some sort of scandal going on? I'm thinking people just like Bernie more as they hear more from him.

Source (which is clearly pro-Bernie but the data is there): http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-a...b_9528076.html

The article brings up the time when early vote totals are released. They're released right when the polls close rather than after all the other votes are counted, so Hillary is seen as the immediate winner most of the time. However, if they release them after, then we get to see the Election Day totals first, which would help everyone see how well Bernie is doing right now rather than weeks or months ago. But since the votes are already counted, they should be released ASAP, right?

Hillary does better with early votes because early voters are overwhelmingly elderly.

Benzene

Progressives discrediting early voting using GOP-style arguments. And these are supposed to be forward-thinkers. And here I thought Hillary was the Republican.

We can now add early voters to Southern blacks and red states (except the ones Bernie wins) as "things that don't really count."

When you don't count people who voted for Hillary, Bernie is winning 100% of the vote.

rivers

Quote:

Originally posted by Benzene

Progressives discrediting early voting using GOP-style arguments. And these are supposed to be forward-thinkers. And here I thought Hillary was the Republican.

We can now add early voters to Southern blacks and red states (except the ones Bernie wins) as "things that don't really count."

When you don't count people who voted for Hillary, Bernie is winning 100% of the vote.

Bernie Bro logic

hooky

Quote:

Originally posted by Benzene

Progressives discrediting early voting using GOP-style arguments. And these are supposed to be forward-thinkers. And here I thought Hillary was the Republican.

We can now add early voters to Southern blacks and red states (except the ones Bernie wins) as "things that don't really count."

When you don't count people who voted for Hillary, Bernie is winning 100% of the vote.

Calm down, I was just making an observation.

I didn't even attack early voting or Hillary.

I guess analyzing the election is bad now. I guess I should just accept things the way they are, stop paying attention to politics, and vote for Hillary on May 3rd and November 8th.

rivers

Quote:

Originally posted by hooky

Calm down, I was just making an observation.

I guess analyzing the election is bad now. I guess I should just accept things the way they are, stop paying attention to politics, and vote for Hillary on May 3rd and November 8th.

I think it's you who needs to calm down