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Discussion: U.S. Election 2016: Primary Season
ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 3/22/2012
Posts: 53,769
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Can someone explain whether the transition to a new administration might affect who is nominated? If Obama nominates someone before the general election, for example, is that person's confirmation likely to continue to be an issue into the next administration, or will the new President have to sort of renew that nomination or even nominate a different Justice? Because with the Republicans fighting any appointment to the Supreme Court, it makes me think that the latter is likely - that somehow, this decision will definitely fall to the new President if the issue is stalled. 
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Member Since: 4/4/2014
Posts: 10,514
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Quote:
Originally posted by Retro
Can someone explain whether the transition to a new administration might affect who is nominated? If Obama nominates someone before the general election, for example, is that person's confirmation likely to continue to be an issue into the next administration, or will the new President have to sort of renew that nomination or even nominate a different Justice? Because with the Republicans fighting any appointment to the Supreme Court, it makes me think that the latter is likely - that somehow, this decision will definitely fall to the new President if the issue is stalled. |
If I'm not mistaken, it would be a new Senate and therefore the confirmation process would have to start over. Not 100% sure on that. Obama could make a recess appointment, but they would still need to be approved by the Senate soon enough. He would probably only do it if the Republicans won the presidential election.
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Member Since: 8/29/2011
Posts: 18,282
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Some Republican Senators will likely vote for Obama's nominee even if the nominee is controversial. The election puts extra pressure on the senators. A lot of Republicans are up for election in blue or purple states, Illinois, New Hemisphere, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, etc
If these senators are smart, they will NOT wait until November for this to become a campaign issues. Although, it could hurt some of them in the primaries. I know my former Senator Richard Lugar voted for Obama's appointees and that cost him the primary, and ultimately the Republican Party the election.
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Member Since: 6/28/2008
Posts: 4,530
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Quote:
Originally posted by RatedG²
I want an Asian or Native American  |
It might be Srinivasan
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Member Since: 8/3/2010
Posts: 71,871
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Quote:
Originally posted by Mickey
It might be Srinivasan
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Well Indian is technically Asian so 
I have one hour to study before the debate 
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Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 7,726
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The future composition of the Supreme Court is the most important civil rights cause of our time. It is more important than racial justice, marriage equality, voting rights, money in politics, abortion rights, gun rights, or managing climate change. It matters more because the ability to move forward in these other civil rights struggles depends first and foremost upon control of the Court. And control for the next generation is about to be up for grabs, likely in the next presidential election, a point many on the right but few on the left seem to have recognized.
When the next President of the United States assumes office on January 20, 2017, Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg will be nearly 84, Justices Antonin Scalia and Anthony Kennedy will be over 80, and Justice Stephen Breyer will be 78. Although many Justices have served on the Court into their 80s and beyond, the chances for all of these Justices remaining through the next 4 or 8 years of the 45th President are slim. Indeed, the next president will likely make multiple appointments to the Court.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/cafe/sc...6-implications
Vote DeM.
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ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 3/22/2012
Posts: 53,769
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Has the newest South Carolina poll been discussed? Out today: Clinton 65, Sanders 27.
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ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 11/14/2008
Posts: 24,988
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Member Since: 8/3/2010
Posts: 71,871
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Quote:
Originally posted by Retro
Has the newest South Carolina poll been discussed? Out today: Clinton 65, Sanders 27.
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omg
Welp. Let's go AA vote!
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Member Since: 8/7/2015
Posts: 1,797
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Quote:
Originally posted by Qwerty1234
The future composition of the Supreme Court is the most important civil rights cause of our time. It is more important than racial justice, marriage equality, voting rights, money in politics, abortion rights, gun rights, or managing climate change. It matters more because the ability to move forward in these other civil rights struggles depends first and foremost upon control of the Court. And control for the next generation is about to be up for grabs, likely in the next presidential election, a point many on the right but few on the left seem to have recognized.
When the next President of the United States assumes office on January 20, 2017, Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg will be nearly 84, Justices Antonin Scalia and Anthony Kennedy will be over 80, and Justice Stephen Breyer will be 78. Although many Justices have served on the Court into their 80s and beyond, the chances for all of these Justices remaining through the next 4 or 8 years of the 45th President are slim. Indeed, the next president will likely make multiple appointments to the Court.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/cafe/sc...6-implications
Vote DeM. |
oh boy... US politics is about to get a whole lot more messier...
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Member Since: 8/3/2010
Posts: 71,871
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Wait @ Clinton winning the young voters
FINALLY SHES MAKING INROADS
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ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 11/14/2008
Posts: 24,988
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Quote:
Originally posted by RatedG²
Wait @ Clinton winning the young voters
FINALLY SHES MAKING INROADS |
Not too fast, sis. It's from ages 18 - 49. A true indication of young voters is 18 - 27/30, not 49. But this still is a great stat for her.
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ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 3/22/2012
Posts: 53,769
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Interestingly enough, it seems that Hillary has gained in the past month in SC while Bernie has lost ground. Is this the only state where she's actually widening the gap or is there any other?
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Member Since: 8/31/2012
Posts: 13,110
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Quote:
Originally posted by foxaylove
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it's kind of shocking to imagine Hillary winning the 18-49 year old vote. I expect that number to drop a lot in the coming weeks.
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Member Since: 8/3/2010
Posts: 71,871
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Quote:
Originally posted by foxaylove
Not too fast, sis. It's from ages 18 - 49. A true indication of young voters is 18 - 27/30, not 49. But this still is a great stat for her.
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Oh wait you're right. But in NH she lost handily the 18-49 bracket so this is very encouraging.
Quote:
Originally posted by Retro
Interestingly enough, it seems that Hillary has gained in the past month in SC while Bernie has lost ground. Is this the only state where she's actually widening the gap or is there any other?
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Michigan. Let me check for North Carolina because that may be another one
edit: yes NC too if you see PPP as a small outlier poll
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Member Since: 6/29/2012
Posts: 13,597
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Quote:
Originally posted by Retro
Has the newest South Carolina poll been discussed? Out today: Clinton 65, Sanders 27.
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Queen about to New Hampshire Bernie
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Member Since: 11/15/2009
Posts: 16,903
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As if this election season couldn't have gotten any messier, a Supreme Court justice up and dies on us out of nowhere This will just make everything even more contentious.
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Member Since: 1/8/2011
Posts: 27,650
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Member Since: 8/16/2010
Posts: 15,137
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That pollster has a C- rating from 538. But at least it's rated unlike that Nevada poll.  Not sure how reliable it is, but 40 points is pretty substantial.
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Member Since: 8/3/2010
Posts: 71,871
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Quote:
Originally posted by Benzene
That poll has a C- rating from 538. But at least it's rated. Not sure how reliable it is, but 40 points is pretty substantial. |
It does. But C- or higher usually isn't skewed by more than 10. So even if it was, at worst, 10 off that will be still +28 lol
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