Quote:
Originally posted by J P O W
So if Google is correct, then Hillary has 394 delegates and Bernie has 42  Is it realistically possible that Bernie can even catch her? |
Definitely. His path to the nomination was always going to be narrow but it's possible.
So what has to happen is...
1) He has to win most delegates in the Northeast. He just has to. New England has demographics and ideological factors that favor him the most. Massachusettes has many delegates and some other states have a lot. If he splits with Clinton there (which probably will happen. She has the edge in the delegate rich states) his path is even narrower
2) He has to win the West if he splits the Northeast. If he wins the Northeast then he only needs to split the West. Clinton winning both ends him completely because he won't win the South at all in large numbers
3) He has to avoid getting absolutely crushed in the South. She owns 20+ leads in almost every recent Southern state polled (some were released yesterday and today) so he won't win there. He just needs to lessen the blow because losing 20+ everywhere ends him
4) He has to win at least 30% of the uncommitted superdelegates or hope for some superdelegates to switch allegiance. This fourth point isn't completely necessary but I can guarantee one of the first three conditions won't be met.
Possible mathematically but if I were to bet, I'd save my money on a Bernie nomination. But anything is possible
Quote:
Originally posted by LuLuDrops
Where my Latinos, Blacks, Asians at? 
My prediction is the Northeast will be split among the two Dems, South will go for Hillary, certain parts of the West for each - what do you think about Middle America? |
Middle America? It'll split I think but most will break for Clinton only because the type of white voters there are not the same white voters in the Northeast/West. They're more akin to the South
you can at least admit that part of the reason the electoral college was even a thing is b/c it simplified the counting process. With modern tech being at its current state, and rapidly progressing, there should be no reason why we are still doing things the way they were dones years and years ago. I honestly feel like the system needs a massive overhaul, but I'm well aware of the fact that we're a long ways from that thinking being the general consensus.