Quote:
Originally posted by Alejandrawrrr
While it's true that something like 350+ openly endorsed her already, the de facto advantage is at least 700 unless something hugely unexpected happens. We all know who virtually every establishment democrat is supporting.
I also don't see any reasonable amount of them switching to him under ANY circumstance, unless he miraculously pulled like, an Obama endorsement or something (the opposite has already essentially happened). The next best thing, a coveted Elizabeth Warren endorsement, is not nearly as big a deal as pundits seem to think, so yeah, it is basically a 700 point disadvantage, and the real reason why he was never really going to win barring a miracle (one that I'm still hoping for). The democratic elite won't allow it even if he wins 60-40 in every state from here on out  |
Well you're right there are about 350ish left to endorse. They may not actually endorse at all though maybe they all just wait until after a clear nominee comes forward. Until we know what they do all we can say is that he started far behind but not THAT far behind. At least not yet
I agree with you on the fact they may not switch at all but it's not totally out of the question. If he starts winning states like Nevada, Maine, Vermont, Massachusettes, Rhode Island, Minnesota, Virginia, Pennsylvania, etc then you could see a huge shift go his way if they really think he is the better candidate. Now I don't expect him to win half of those states (I see 3 max from what I listed lol) but I'm just a person who doesn't like to rule anything out until mathematically it's not possible
. Only a 370+ advantage she started with
Anyone who has been following politics for more than a few days would know that an entire YEAR is a massive period of time for things to change drastically. Bernie wasn't even in the race in February 2015 
Of course his appearance and campaigning would shift the numbers.