Quote:
Originally posted by Flare
That's all the "predicted" result. That doesn't account for any momentum shifts, endorsements, ad campaigns, etc, that can occur going forward which would benefit Bernie or hurt Hilary. As I said before, Hilary has only been maintaining or declining meanwhile Bernie just gains so that's a problem if the trend continues especially now that he can use Iowa as a benchmark for how he is viable as a candidate and NH is coming next. 
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It's not just that though, we are dealing with a candidate who would have to defy a lot of logic and precident in order to win the nomination, let alone the precidency.
Bernie will not do well down south, that should be obvious for demographic and ideological reasons.
Secondly, his stance again campaign funding (while I admit is extremely admirable) doesn't help when it comes to achieving the nomination. If somehow he does win, it's going to be a hard slog in every single primary, there won't be any quick wins for him and when you are dealing with an opponent like Hil, who has vast sums of campaign $$$ at her disposal, you are going to struggle in the ad battle and on the ground game.
I'm not saying Bernie 'can't' win it, I'm saying it is really, really, really unlikely, and if he was going to stamp any kind of authority on the primaries it should have started tonight and a tie in a friendly demographic does not do that.
