Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
What I do is just assume those urban hits are local af (40-60%). (I really believe, US is the only one really eating them up). So with my estimated streaming numbers of the previous week (looking up the Streaming Songs charts), I just increase or decreasing depending on the views' variation. If the video is not getting SO many streams but it's pretty high on Streaming Songs chart, it's mostly because of random YouTube videos, you just assume (again) it's going to experience the same gain/loss with those videos.
Don't be coy with Streaming, it's just a crazy thing to predict tbh  |
The way I'm doing it is attempting to estimate how local songs are on YouTube based on how local they are on Spotify. For each song I found the percentage of Spotify streams coming from the U.S. (using the Spotify weeklies) and tried to come up with a good YT estimate based on that. As an example, I assumed 70% locality (that's the word I use to describe the percentage of streams coming from the U.S.) for Don't because it had over 80% locality on Spotify and I know YT streams are almost always less local than Spotify streams.
To estimate non-official video streams and non-Spotify on-demand streams, I looked at last week's article to see the total streams a song got on Streaming Songs, then calculated how much I had to multiply the Spotify + YT numbers from last week by to get that number. For both Hello and Sorry it was around 1.35, so I just multiplied my YT + Spotify estimates for each song by 1.35 to get the overall streaming total.
I'll be able to improve these methods with time. As you can see, this week is basically a test run for me.
