| |
Chart Listings: Billboard Charts (August 9-16, 2015)
Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Kots
Omg The Hills  Why? |
Consistently #2/#3 on Spotify, in the lower half of the top 10 on iTunes, and surging on overall radio (#47 [+3]) today.
I don't think it jumps as high as #5; I'd say it lands at #7.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Kots
Omg The Hills Why? |
You'd be surprised by how close it was from being Top 10 this week, the lower Top 10 region is very close to each other but "The Hills" continues gaining on Airplay/Streaming. Sales are stable. While Rachel is losing on sales, peaking on radio
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/7/2015
Posts: 3,046
|
Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
Consistently #2/#3 on Spotify, in the lower half of the top 10 on iTunes, and surging on overall radio (#47 [+3]) today.
I don't think it jumps as high as #5; I'd say it lands at #7.
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
You'd be surprised by how close it was from being Top 10 this week, the lower Top 10 region is very close to each other but "The Hills" continues gaining on Airplay/Streaming. Sales are stable. While Rachel is losing on sales, peaking on radio
|
Thank you so much guys 
|
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
|
I worked with Alexanderao's Top 20+3 for 08-14 Aug and shifted it up a day to reflect Billboard's tracking week for On-Demand Streaming on the Hot 100. So I posted the Top 23 for 07-13 August so people could use them in their chart predictions this coming week. I estimate Spotify is down to around 75% of ODS, so for an estimate of total streams, I would divide these numbers by 0.75. However, I bet Dr. Dre debuts on the ODS this week with all of his streams from AM, so they must be taken into account too.
Also, please make or update your predictions for the 2015 Year End Chart at: http://atrl.net/forums/showthread.php?t=841467. I will add the first Top 30 for March tomorrow (start of 4th month), and work with the list created earlier this week reflecting total weeks in the Top 10 this Calendar Year to read for the Chart Year. I'll try to find 2015 Chart Year peak positions too, but some will have to wait until I'm back on Billboard Biz again.
|
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
Predictions:
1. Can't Feel My Face = (0-4% of lead)
2. Cheerleader =
3. Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae) +1
4. Lean On +1
5. The Hills +6
6. Fight Song +1
7. My Way +3
8. Bad Blood -2
9. Trap Queen =
10. Good For You +3
11. See You Again -3
12. Where Are Ü Now =
13. Shut Up And Dance +1
14. Photograph +5
15. 679 +2
16. Worth It -1
17. Cool For The Summer +3
18. Uptown Funk -2
19. All Eyes On You +24
20. Honey, I'm Good. -2
23. Drag Me Down -20
25. Locked Away +10
28. Marvin Gaye =
Top 50/Top 60 debut for Lana
|
Where do you think "House Party" will rank this coming week? I really hope non-Country stations are about to start adding the song this week now that is on the ST50 and sales are solid, as they don't have the slow-song excuse with this one. Break Up In A Small Town might make it at Country radio after all given the success of HP, and BUIAST has a dubstep rhythm in its chorus that would work well at mainstream formats.
I was thinking TYT hovered in the 60s and 70s at its peak, but because we had access to the entire Top 200 for the day and the week back then, we could always see it. I may be wrong though. I just finally deleted that bookmark earlier this week.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
|
Quote:
Originally posted by brianc33616
Where do you think "House Party" will rank this coming week? I really hope non-Country stations are about to start adding the song this week now that is on the ST50 and sales are solid, as they don't have the slow-song excuse with this one. Break Up In A Small Town might make it at Country radio after all given the success of HP, and BUIAST has a dubstep rhythm in its chorus that would work well at mainstream formats.
|
It's looking like a promising next Top 20 hit, which is great for a Country track, although I don't know what to expect, it's about to peak on Country and there are no signs of crossing over (a shame since the song has a lot of crossover appeal). #31 for me this week
|
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 30,842
|
I hope it goes up. 
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 3/15/2009
Posts: 4,228
|
Taylor swift is flopping right now. She needs to pick it up.
Love her
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/6/2015
Posts: 12,327
|
Quote:
Originally posted by family.guy123
Taylor swift is flopping right now. She needs to pick it up.
Love her
|
This era is already way longer than Red and Speak Now eras have been and 1989 isn't leaving the Billboard 200 top 10 anytime soon.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 7/4/2007
Posts: 24,859
|
Quote:
Originally posted by family.guy123
Taylor swift is flopping right now. She needs to pick it up.
Love her
|
i know right.
start pushing Holiest Dreams.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
|
Quote:
Originally posted by family.guy123
Taylor swift is flopping right now. She needs to pick it up.
Love her
|
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 7/4/2007
Posts: 24,859
|
Most robbed of #1 digital era, ranked by 2nd and 3rd strongest selling weeks (cuz one frontloaded week doesn't show too much overall power):
I Knew You Were Trouble 416, 326
Payphone 330, 293
Gangnam Style 301, 294
Boyfriend 295, 255
Problem 284, 248
Thinking Out Loud 269, 242
Take Me to Church 244, 265
Talk Dirty 247, 242
Airplanes 247, 235
Say Something 241, 238
Given the way sales are falling, I Knew You Were Trouble is unlikely to ever be toppled as the most-robbed song with its 3 300k+ weeks.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/7/2015
Posts: 15,135
|
Quote:
Originally posted by fridayteenage
Most robbed of #1 digital era, ranked by 2nd and 3rd strongest selling weeks (cuz one frontloaded week doesn't show too much overall power):
I Knew You Were Trouble 416, 326
Payphone 330, 293
Gangnam Style 301, 294
Boyfriend 295, 255
Problem 284, 248
Talk Dirty 247, 242
Airplanes 247, 235
Say Something 241, 238
Cruise 244, 225
Stay 236, 229
Given the way sales are falling, I Knew You Were Trouble is unlikely to ever be toppled as the most-robbed song with its 3 300k+ weeks.
|
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 7/4/2007
Posts: 24,859
|
I had to edit a bit because I realized I forgot to update the post I have in another thread about stats.
Ed and Hozier knock out Florida Georgia Line and Rihanna from the T10.
The only ones left from a female's album, then, are Trouble and Problem.
Will Ari get a #1 next era? Will her controversy doom her?
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 3/15/2009
Posts: 4,228
|
Quote:
Originally posted by fridayteenage
Most robbed of #1 digital era, ranked by 2nd and 3rd strongest selling weeks (cuz one frontloaded week doesn't show too much overall power):
I Knew You Were Trouble 416, 326
Payphone 330, 293
Gangnam Style 301, 294
Boyfriend 295, 255
Problem 284, 248
Thinking Out Loud 269, 242
Take Me to Church 244, 265
Talk Dirty 247, 242
Airplanes 247, 235
Say Something 241, 238
Given the way sales are falling, I Knew You Were Trouble is unlikely to ever be toppled as the most-robbed song with its 3 300k+ weeks.
|
How does that equate to being the most robbed? You need more evidence than what you've provided. For example, what the #1 songs were selling that same week, their airplay, etc. Are you one of those people who think that sales should be the only factor on the hot 100?
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 11/27/2010
Posts: 9,806
|
Quote:
Originally posted by family.guy123
How does that equate to being the most robbed? You need more evidence than what you've provided. For example, what the #1 songs were selling that same week, their airplay, etc. Are you one of those people who think that sales should be the only factor on the hot 100?
|
Point differential is a better measure IMO.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 7/4/2007
Posts: 24,859
|
not if the formula's idiotic 
Plus, does anyone who likes the formula memorize the exact permutations it's been through at any given time in the last 10 years? Cuz I doubt it.
How 'bout this: I Knew You Were Trouble is the only song to top both sales and airplay for 3+ weeks to not get #1. That considers multiple main components.
If you look at Streaming Songs too, then Gangnam Style topped that plus another component (sales) for 3+ weeks yet missed #1.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 4/12/2011
Posts: 3,256
|
Is there any chance that Lean On could go Top 3 ? given that it was discounted and its ahead of Watch me on radio?? I really want this to happen....
|
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
|
Quote:
Originally posted by fridayteenage
I had to edit a bit because I realized I forgot to update the post I have in another thread about stats.
Ed and Hozier knock out Florida Georgia Line and Rihanna from the T10.
The only ones left from a female's album, then, are Trouble and Problem.
Will Ari get a #1 next era? Will her controversy doom her?
|
But Cruise outsold Say Something by 3,000 copies; 244k to 241k. Say Something should be the one to drop out.
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 8/6/2015
Posts: 12,327
|
Quote:
Originally posted by fridayteenage
Most robbed of #1 digital era, ranked by 2nd and 3rd strongest selling weeks (cuz one frontloaded week doesn't show too much overall power):
I Knew You Were Trouble 416, 326
Payphone 330, 293
Gangnam Style 301, 294
Boyfriend 295, 255
Problem 284, 248
Thinking Out Loud 269, 242
Take Me to Church 244, 265
Talk Dirty 247, 242
Airplanes 247, 235
Say Something 241, 238
Given the way sales are falling, I Knew You Were Trouble is unlikely to ever be toppled as the most-robbed song with its 3 300k+ weeks.
|
I wouldn't say "most robbed" I would say "unluckiest timing". Locked Out Of Heaven just was bigger than I Knew You Were Trouble in every single week. Slightly different timing and IKWYT would have easily been a #1 single.
|
|
|
|
|
|
