AOTY is going to Macklemore & Ryan Lewis. Taylor is the only other nominee who even has a shot. Kendrick, Daft Punk, and Sarah have roughly the same chances as the Browns do of winning the Super Bowl this year.
- Daft Punk's album was polarizing and the older voters are probably turned off by the robot thing. And it's a really hard sell trying to get a disco album AOTY in 2014.
- Kendrick Lamar isn't quite big enough to win, and will get hit with the "we can't give AOTY to a rap act" penalty.
- Half the voters only know who Sara Bareilles is because of the Windows ads using Brave. She's only in the category because Justin kicked himself out due to submitting the Complete Experience instead of just Part 1 and there was no clear head-of-the-pack rock album. I wouldn't be surprised if there was a precipitous drop off in votes from the 4th place nominee to her.
- Macklemore and Ryan Lewis won't get hurt by the "we can't give AOTY to a rap act" penalty because the voters see them as a pop act first. Their album sold well and spawned several huge hits. Plus they have the song championing a social cause that makes everyone who votes for them feel like they're voting for something bigger.
I just don't see any way Macklemore and Ryan Lewis don't win almost everything. If it makes you feel any better, this will almost assuredly be followed by them disappearing from the mainstream. This definitely feels like a Chris Cross/Norah Jones/fun. situation.
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Originally posted by castle13
I still cannot at the fact that they snubbed IKYWH and is now shamelessly using it for promo
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I can't get over Macklemore wearing Michael Jackson's old clothes.
Quote:
Originally posted by castle13
off topic
Mama's Broken Heart
This explains Kacey's reaction at the CMAs. 
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Miranda literally took time out of her own wedding reception to beg Kacey to give her the song. Kacey is just that amazing.