The Oscar nominations are sneaking up on us a little early this year: They'll be announced Thursday, January 10, roughly two weeks earlier than in past years. Campaigns have begun and the Internet's many Oscar pundits are buzzing. I took a look at Goldderby.com, a website entirely dedicated to awards-season predictions, and noted the following as front-runners:
Best picture: "Les Miserables" (pictured at right)
Best director: Ben Affleck, "Argo" (pictured below)
Best actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
Best actress: Jennifer Lawrence, "The Silver Linings Playbook"
Best supporting actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman, "The Master"
Best supporting actress: Anne Hathaway, "Les Miserables"
Best original screenplay: "The Master"
Best adapted screenplay: "Lincoln"
Best picture: "Les Miserables" (pictured at right)
Best director: Ben Affleck, "Argo" (pictured below)
Best actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
Best actress: Jennifer Lawrence, "The Silver Linings Playbook"
Best supporting actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman, "The Master"
Best supporting actress: Anne Hathaway, "Les Miserables"
Best original screenplay: "The Master"
Best adapted screenplay: "Lincoln"[/b]
These are basically my predictions too, the only difference is that I think Argo will get Adapted Screenplay and I don't think Les Mis will get Best Picture.
NYFCC Awards Best First Film: David Franch, "How To Survive A Plague"**
Best Non-Fiction Film (Documentary): "Central Park Five"
Best Cinematography: Greig Fraser, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Best Supporting Actress: Sally Field, "Lincoln"
Best Supporting Actor: Matthew McConaughey, "Magic Mike" & "Bernie"
Best Animated Film: "Frankenweenie"
Best Foreign Film: "Amour"
Best Picture: "Zero Dark Thirty"
Best Screenplay: Tony Kushner, "Lincoln"
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
Best Actress: Rachel Weisz, "The Deep Blue Sea"
Best Director: Katheryn Bigelow, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Matthew Sally pulling the upset YES for Rachel tho
Matthew McConaughey was praised in Magic Mike? Is he even expected to be nominated?
I've seen some mentions on it. I think it's pretty deserving, he was fun in the movie. (although I'm sure more deserving performances won't get nominated if he does)
Daniel Day-Lewis wins Best Actor, think Lincoln will get BP.
Well what I think with the NYFCC results, this is what's gonna happen with the Oscars:
Best Picture - Zero Dark Thirty vs. Lincoln
Director - Spielberg vs. Affleck and I think they are gonna give this to Ben Affleck, I'm very sure.
Actress - Jessica Chastain
Actor - Daniel Day Lewis
JENNIFER LAWRENCE SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK THE WEINSTEIN CO.
EMILIE DEQUENNE OUR CHILDREN VERSUS PRODUCTION
KEIRA KNIGHTLEY ANNA KARENINA FOCUS FEATURES
EMMANUELLE RIVA AMOUR SONY PICTURES CLASSICS
LAURA BIRN PURGE SOLAR FILMS
LAURA LINNEY HYDE PARK ON HUDSON FOCUS FEATURES
JESSICA CHASTAIN ZERO DARK THIRTY COLUMBIA PICTURES
2. Actor in a Motion Picture
Name Title of Film
JOHN HAWKES THE SESSIONS FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
OMAR SY THE INTOUCHABLES THE WEINSTEIN CO.
HUGH JACKMAN LES MISÉRABLES UNIVERSAL
JOAQUIN PHOENIX THE MASTER THE WEINSTEIN CO.
DENZEL WASHINGTON FLIGHT PARAMOUNT PICTURES
DANIEL DAY-LEWIS LINCOLN DREAMWORKS/TOUCHSTONE
BRADLEY COOPER SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK THE WEINSTEIN CO.
3. Actress in a Supporting Role
Name Title of Film
AMY ADAMS THE MASTER THE WEINSTEIN CO.
HELENE FLORENT CAFÉ DE FLORE ADOPT FILMS
ANNE HATHAWAY LES MISÉRABLES UNIVERSAL
HELEN HUNT THE SESSIONS FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
JUDI DENCH SKYFALL COLUMBIA PICTURES
SAMANTHA BARKS LES MISERABLES UNIVERSAL
4. Actor in a Supporting Role
Name Title of Film
PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN THE MASTER THE WEINSTEIN CO.
ROBERT DE NIRO SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK THE WEINSTEIN CO.
JOHN GOODMAN FLIGHT PARAMOUNT PICTURES
JAVIER BARDEM SKYFALL COLUMBIA PICTURES
TOMMY LEE JONES LINCOLN DREAMWORKS/TOUCHSTONE
EDDIE REDMAYNE LES MISÉRABLES UNIVERSAL
5. Motion Picture
Title of Film
ARGO WARNER BROS.
SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK THE WEINSTEIN CO.
BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
LES MISÉRABLES UNIVERSAL
SKYFALL COLUMBIA PICTURES
MOONRISE KINGDOM FOCUS FEATURES
THE SESSIONS FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
LINCOLN DREAMWORKS/TOUCHSTONE
LIFE OF PI TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX
ZERO DARK THIRTY COLUMBIA PICTURES
6. Motion Picture, International Film
Title of Film Country
AMOUR SONY PICTURES CLASSICS AUSTRIA
A ROYAL AFFAIR MAGNOLIA PICTURES DENMARK
THE INTOUCHABLES THE WEINSTEIN CO. FRANCE
OUR CHILDREN LE FILMS DU LOSANGE BELGIUM
KON-TIKI THE WEINSTEIN CO. NORWAY
PIETA DRAFTHOUSE FILMS SOUTH KOREA
BEYOND THE HILLS SUNDANCE SELECTS ROMANIA
WAR WITCH TRIBECA FILM CANADA
CAESAR MUST DIE ADOPT FILM ITALY
7. Motion Picture, Animated or Mixed Media
Title of Film
PARANORMAN FOCUS FEATURES
WRECK-IT RALPH WALT DISNEY STUDIOS MOTION PICTURES
RISE OF THE GUARDIANS DREAMWORKS ANIMATION
BRAVE WALT DISNEY STUDIOS MOTION PICTURES
ICE AGE 4: CONTINENTAL DRIFT TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX ANIMATION
FRANKENWEENIE WALT DISNEY STUDIOS MOTION PICTURES
MADAGASCAR 3: EUROPE’S MOST WANTED DREAMWORKS ANIMATION
8. Motion Picture, Documentary
Title of Documentary
THE CENTRAL PARK FIVE SUNDANCE SELECTS
THE PRUITT-IGOE MYTH FIRST RUN FEATURES
THE GATEKEEPERS SONY PICTURES CLASSICS
AI WEIWEI: NEVER SORRY SUNDANCE SELECTS
WEST OF MEMPHIS SONY PICTURES CLASSICS
CHASING ICE NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC
MARINA ABRAMOVIC: THE ARTIST IS PRESENT MUSIC BOX FILMS
SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN SONY PICTURES CLASSICS
9. Director
Name Title of Film
DAVID O. RUSSELL SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK THE WEINSTEIN CO.
BEN AFFLECK ARGO WARNER BROS.
KIM KI-DUK PIETA DRAFTHOUSE FILMS
BEN LEWIN THE SESSIONS FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
STEVEN SPIELBERG LINCOLN DREAMWORKS/TOUCHSTONE
KATHRYN BIGELOW ZERO DARK THIRTY COLUMBIA PICTURES
10. Screenplay, Original
Name Title of Film
ERIC TOLEDANO, OLIVIER NAKACHE THE INTOUCHABLES THE WEINSTEIN CO.
JOHN GATINS FLIGHT PARAMOUNT PICTURES
KIM KI-DUK PIETA DRAFTHOUSE FILMS
ROMAN COPPOLA, WES ANDERSON MOONRISE KINGDOM FOCUS FEATURES
PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON THE MASTER THE WEINSTEIN CO.
MARK BOAL ZERO DARK THIRTY COLUMBIA PICTURES
11. Screenplay, Adapted
BEN LEWIN
THE SESSIONS FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
(BASED ON DOCUMENTARY “BREATHING LESSONS: THE LIFE AND WORK OF MARK O’BRIEN” DIRECTED BY JESSICA YU)
TONY KUSHNER, JOHN LOGAN, PAUL WEBB
LINCOLN DREAMWORKS/TOUCHSTONE
(BASED ON “TEAM OF RIVALS: THE POLITICAL GENIUS OF ABRAHAM LINCOLN” BY DORIS KEARNS GOODWIN)
CHRIS TERRIO
ARGO WARNER BROS.
(BASED ON “ESCAPE FROM TEHRAN” BY JOSHUAH BEARMAN)
TOM STOPPARD
ANNA KARENINA FOCUS FEATURES
(BASED ON THE NOVEL BY LEO TOLSTOY)
DAVID O. RUSSELL
SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK THE WEINSTEIN CO.
(BASED ON NOVEL BY MATTHEW QUICK)
DAVID MAGEE
LIFE OF PI TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX
(BASED ON THE NOVEL BY YANN MARTEL)
12. Original Score
Composer Title of Film
ALEXANDRE DESPLAT ARGO WARNER BROS.
DARIO MARIANELLI ANNA KARENINA FOCUS FEATURES
THOMAS NEWMAN SKYFALL COLUMBIA PICTURES
JONNY GREENWOOD THE MASTER THE WEINSTEIN CO.
JOHN WILLIAMS LINCOLN DREAMWORKS/TOUCHSTONE
DAN ROMER, BENH ZEITLIN BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD/FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
13. Original Song
Title of Song Performer Writer(s) Title of Film
LEARN ME RIGHT BIRDY BIRDY & MUMFORD AND SONS BRAVE
STILL ALIVE PAUL WILLIAMS PAUL WILLIAMS PAUL WILLIAMS: STILL ALIVE
SKYFALL ADELE ADELE ADKINS, PAUL EPWORTH SKYFALL
SUDDENLY HUGH JACKMAN ALAIN BOUBIL, HERBERT KRETZMER LES MISÉRABLES
FIRE IN THE BLOOD/SNAKE SONG EMMYLOU HARRIS EMMYLOU HARRIS, NICK CAVE, WARREN ELLIS LAWLESS
LOVE ALWAYS COMES AS A SURPRISE PETER ASHER PETER ASHER & DAVE STEWART MADAGASCAR 3
14. Cinematography
Name Title of Film
BEN RICHARDSON BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD/FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
MIHAI MALAIMARE JR THE MASTER/THE WEINSTEIN CO.
JANUSZ KAMINSKI LINCOLN/DREAMWORKS/TOUCHSTONE
ROGER DEAKINS SKYFALL/COLUMBIA PICTURES
SEAMUS MCGARVEY ANNA KARENINA/FOCUS FEATURES
CLAUDIO MIRANDA LIFE OF PI/TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX
15. Visual Effects
Name Title of Film
STEVE BEGG, ARUNDI ASREGADOO, ANDREW WHITEHURST
SKYFALL COLUMBIA PICTURES
RICHARD STAMMERS, CHARLEY HENLEY, MARTIN HILL
PROMETHEUS TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX
BILL WESTENHOFER
LIFE OF PI TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX
MICHAEL LANTIERI, KEVIN BAILLIE, RYAN TUDHOPE, JIM GIBBS
FLIGHT PARAMOUNT PICTURES
DAN GLASS, GEOFFREY HANCOCK, STEPHANE CERETTI
CLOUD ATLAS WARNER BROS.
CHRIS CORBOULD, PAUL FRANKLIN
THE DARK KNIGHT RISES WARNER BROS.
16. Film Editing
Name Title of Film
LISA BROMWELL
THE SESSIONS FOX SEARCHLIGHT PICTURES
JEREMIAH O’DRISCOLL
FLIGHT PARAMOUNT PICTURES
DYLAN TICHENOR
ZERO DARK THIRTY COLUMBIA PICTURES
ALEXANDER BERNER
CLOUD ATLAS WARNER BROS
JAY CASSIDY
SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK THE WEINSTEIN CO.
CHRIS DICKENS
LES MISÉRABLES UNIVERSAL
17. Sound (Editing and Mixing)
Name Title of Film
DENNIS LEONARD
FLIGHT PARAMOUNT PICTURES
JOHN WARHURST, LEE WALPOLE, SIMON HAYES
LES MISÉRABLES UNIVERSAL
CRAIG HENIGHAN, CHRIS MUNRO
SNOW WHITE AND THE HUNTSMAN UNIVERSAL
BAARD H. INGEBRETSEN, TORMOD RINGES
KON-TIKI THE WEINSTEIN CO.
DREW KUNIN, EUGENE GEARTY, PHILIP STOCKTON
LIFE OF PI TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX
VICTOR RAY ENNIS, ANN SCIBELLI, JOHN CUCCI, MARK P. STOECKINGER
PROMETHEUS TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX
18. Art Direction & Production Design
Name Title of Film
RICK CARTER, CURT BEECH, DAVID CRANK, LESLIE MCDONALD
LINCOLN DREAMWORKS/TOUCHSTONE
NATHAN CROWLEY, KEVIN KAVANAUGH, JAMES HAMBIDGE, NAAMAN MARSHALL
THE DARK KNIGHT RISES WARNER BROS.
NIELS SEJER
A ROYAL AFFAIR MAGNOLIA PICTURES
DAVID CRANK, JACK FISK
THE MASTER THE WEINSTEIN CO.
SARAH GREENWOOD, NIALL MORONEY, THOMAS BROWN, NICK GOTTSCHALK, TOM STILL
ANNA KARENINA FOCUS FEATURES
EVE STEWART, ANNA LYNCH-ROBINSON
LES MISÉRABLES UNIVERSAL
19. Costume Design
Name Title of Film
COLLEEN ATWOOD
SNOW WHITE AND THE HUNTSMAN UNIVERSAL
MANON RASMUSSEN
A ROYAL AFFAIR MAGNOLIA PICTURES
CHRISTIAN GASC, VALERIE RANCHOUX
FAREWELL, MY QUEEN COHEN MEDIA GROUP
JACQUELINE DURRAN
ANNA KARENINA FOCUS FEATURES
KYM BARRETT, PIERRE-YVES GAYRAUD
CLOUD ATLAS WARNER BROS
PACO DELGADO
LES MISÉRABLES UNIVERSAL
SPECIAL ACHIEVEMENT AWARDS
MARY PICKFORD AWARD FOR OUTSTANDING ARTISTIC CONTRIBUTION TO THE ENTERTAINMENT INDUSTRY -- Terence Stamp
NIKOLA TESLA AWARD IN RECOGNITION OF VISIONARY ACHIEVEMENT IN FILMMAKING TECHNOLOGY -- Walter Murch
AUTEUR AWARD -- Paul Williams
HONORARY SATELLITE AWARD -- Bruce Davison
NEWCOMER AWARD -- Quvenzhane Wallis Beasts of the Southern Wild
Sally pulling the upset 
Is he even expected to be nominated?