Started a tad later than last year

As the Oscarbait films begin to be released, it's time to become psychic and guess who's getting a nod come sometime in January.

You definitly, when predicting, want to list the top 5 for the categories, but if you wanna list a wild card or so, go for it ^_^

you traditional categories are:

Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actor
Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Best Supporting Actress

And there's the other major and minor ones (Original and Adapted Screenplay, Foreign Film, Animated Film, tech awards, Song) you can predict as well ^_^

The Race is off to January and the official presentation of nominees.

We'll you know Eastwood will get a director nod.

Dreamgirls for best picture

AHAHAHAHAHA
Thanks for the laugh.

I know its sooooo funny..

Wait...look at these sites

http://www.hjernekrigen.dk/oscars2007picture.php
http://www.theoscarigloo.com/2005/Sp...films2006.html
http://www.chiff.com/art/movies/oscars.htm

They predict Dreamgirls as a nominee/winner...they are soo funny!

people like you really get on my nerve! Have you even seen the movie? Most critics are praising it

well hopefully they are wrong.

rrright...

well we'll just see how right they are come oscar time

p.s

according to Entertainment magazine, Dreamgirls is a frontrunner for each of those categories

my predictions so far, in order of likelyness:

PICTURE
Dreamgirls
The Departed
Letters from Iwo Jima
Babel
The Good Shepherd

DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese
Bill Condon
Clint Eastwood (Letters)
Stephen Frears
Robert DeNiro

ACTOR
Peter O'Toole
Forest Whitaker
Ryan Gosling
Will Smith
Matt Damon (Shepherd)

ACTRESS
Helen Mirren
Penelope Cruz
Judi Dench
Meryl Streep (Prada)
Naomi Watts

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jack Nicholson
Leonardo DiCaprio (Departed)
Brad Pitt
Eddie Murphy
Alan Arkin

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Hudson
Rinko Kikuchi
Cate Blanchett (Notes on a Scandal)
Abigail Breslin
Catherine O'Hara

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Babel
The Good Shepherd
Little Miss Sunshine
Volver
Letters from Iwo Jima

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Notes on a Scandal
The Painted Veil
The Good German

And yes, Dreamgirls will very likely score around 10 nominations including Picture, Director, Jennifer Hudson and Eddie Murphy for Supporting, Screenplay. Score, Song, and techs like Art direction and cinematography.

I have to now figure out of Letters was a fluke or if the Academy will give yet another damn Oscar to Clint. Damn him.

Best Picture
1. Dreamgirls
---------------------
2. Babel
3. The Departed
---------------------
4. Notes On A Scandal
5. Little Children
Wild Card: Letters From Iwo Jima, Stranger Than Fiction, The History Boys, Catch A Fire, The Painted Veil

Best Director (listing film since I silly and don't know them all)
1. Dreamgirls
2. Babel
-------------------
3. The Departed
--------------------
4. Volver
5. United 93
Wild Card: Notes On A Scandal

Best Actor
1. Forrest Whitaker, The Last King Of Scotland
2. Peter O'Toole, Venus
------------------------------
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
4. Matt Damon, The Good Shepard
5. Derek Luke, Catch A Fire
Wild Card: Sasha Baron Cohen, Borat

Best Actress
1. Helen Mirren, The Queen
2. Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
3. Judi Dench, Notes On A Scandal
4. Kate Winslet, Little Children
-----------------------------
5. Penelope Cruz, Volver
Wild Card: no idea just yet

Best Supporting Actor
1. Jack Nicholson, The Departed
---------------------------
2. Djimon Houson, Blood Diamonds
3. Brad Pitt, Babel
4. Mark Wahlberg, The Departed (ok, we know this won't happen)
5. Michael Sheen, The Queen
Wild Card: I lost my nice long list of ideas, so Sup Actor looks ****** for now. Eddie Murphy for Dreamgirls I guess

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
2. Emma Thompson, Stranger Than Fiction
3. Catharine O'Hara, For Your Consideration
4. Sandra Bullock, Infamous
5. Rinko Kikuch, Babel
Wild Card: Cate Blanchett, The Good German or Notes On A Scandal

Original Screenplay
1. Stranger Than Fiction
2. The Queen
--------------------------
3. Babel
4. Little Miss Sunshine
5. Volver

Adapted Screenplay
1. The Painted Veil
2. Notes On A Scandal
3. Catch A Fire
4. The Departed
5. Dreamgirls

*updated this weekend after LA, NYC and NYC Online release theirs. If Dreamgirls is missing, the lock might be a fake Best Pic*

You're basing your opinion on me with one comment? Interesting.
Where in my "Hahaha thanks for the laugh" did you read "This movie sucks"?
The Oscars are as racially biased as it comes. A Nomination should be due, sure. But it doesn't stand a chance at a win.

"Best Supporting Actor
1. Jack Nicholson, The Departed
---------------------------
2. Djimon Houson, Blood Diamonds"

I dont know about that, Djimon by far will win the award, hell I think he should win best actor but I think he may because he was a secondary character, be exempt from it. Djimon's performance in Blood Diamonds was simply phenomenal-by far best performance by ANYONE in a long time, maybe even since he appeared in Amistad or In America.

i haven't seen movies this year...
sad..i hope penelope or kate winslet, i know one of her will win

They both need a loooooooooooooooot a help since Queen Helen Mirren almsot has it all sewed up. The only perceived threat is Judi Dench and Meryl Streep, but Meryl is faltering and no one is quite sure if Judi is really a lead.

Yay for Ryan and Sasha for sharing Best Actor nods with Forest. One might sneak onto the ballot - probably Borat instead of crackhead - but this category is all done.

As for Djimon, he should be a lock if he makes at least the runner-up slot on NYC. The DC win helps a bit. But Jack was allowed by Scorcese to be Jack and chew more scenery than the devil. Mark Wahlberg will get more crit awards (as he should) but the Academy will probably only pick one, especially with Michael Sheen picking up steam and Eddie Murphy faltering.

Globe noms on Thursday could shuffle the noms in Support and considering Letters is going Foreign for it (stupid stupid move since I doubt the Press will let Flags take its spot) it could help The Queen or The Departed reassert as the One To Challenge Dreamgirls.

And if Dreamgirls gets only 3 nods - Pic, Director, SupActress - it could be a very very long season. They need Eddie, Jamie and possibly Beyonce to score nods (Jamie and Bee could score since Comedy is iffy overall this year but Jamie will have to smile while Sasha Baron or Peter O'Toole gets Actor and Bee needs to be programed to clap right when Meryl wins Actress) as well as 1 song nod (probably being Listen just so Ms. Sasha McAnnoyingass can get a Globe and try to steal JHud's shinening moment. Back the f off bitch!). Screenplay is not a huge issue just yet, since that will go to Thank You For Smoking or Lil' Miss anyways (yay shared category >_<). Forrest and Helen might as well have acceptance speeches ready at the nominatiion ceremony

Now I redo them cuz the Crits are evil!

Best Picture
1. Dreamgirls
2. The Queen
3. The Departed
---------------------
4. Babel
5. United 93
Wild Card: Letters From Iwo Jima, Notes On A Scandal, Borat: Cultural Learnings Of America For Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan, Little Children, Half Nelson

Best Director (listing film since I silly and don't know them all)
1. Martin Scorcese, The Departed
2. Clint Eastwood, Letters From Iwo Jima
--------------------
3. Stephen Frease, The Queen
4. Bill Condin, Dreamgirls
5. that long one I can't spell, Babel
Wild Card: Pedro Aldomovar, Volver

Best Actor
1. Forrest Whitaker, The Last King Of Scotland
2. Peter O'Toole, Venus
------------------------------
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
-----------------------------
4. Sasha Baron Cohen, Borat: Cultural Learnings Of America For Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
5. Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
Wild Card: Matt Damon, The Good Shepard

Best Actress
1. Helen Mirren, The Queen
2. Judi Dench, Notes On A Scandal
3. Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
4. Penelope Cruz, Volver
----------------------
4. Kate Winslet, Little Children
Wild Card: Abbie Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine

Best Supporting Actor
1. Jack Nicholson, The Departed
2. Djimon Houson, Blood Diamonds
---------------------------
3. Mark Wahlberg, The Departed
4. Michael Sheen, The Queen
---------------------------
5. Brad Pitt, Babel
Wild Card: Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
---------------------
2. Rinko Kikuch, Babel
3. Catharine O'Hara, For Your Consideration
4. Shareeka Epps, Half Nelson
--------------------
5. Emma Thompson, Stranger Than Fiction
Wild Card: Cate Blanchett, Notes On A Scandal

Original Screenplay
1. Stranger Than Fiction
2. The Queen
3. Little Miss Sunshine
--------------------------
4. Babel
5. Volver

Adapted Screenplay
1. The Painted Veil
2. Notes On A Scandal
3. Thank You For Smoking
4. The Departed
5. Dreamgirls

Start Notes: updated this weekend after LA, NYC and NYC Online release theirs. If Dreamgirls is missing, the lock might be a fake Best Pic

Notes On December 11: U93 returns to the challenge, The Queen looks like the main threat to weakened Dreamgirls, Half Nelson and Borat are making a lot more noise than expected and could spring two upsets in Actor, a surprise in Support and a dark horse for Best Picture in Borat - as well as AMPAS confusion with NYC giving it some Doc love. Peter is slipping and Leo has a nod by the skin of his teeth, which will die if he pushes Blood Diamond over The Departed, making Forrest almost guaranteed and no one is challenging Queen Helen, so the interest might just be Support Female after all.

A means to bump

Best Picture
1. The Queen
2. The Departed
---------------------
3. Dreamgirls
---------------------
4. Babel
5. United 93
Wild Card: Letters From Iwo Jima, Notes On A Scandal, Little Children, Half Nelson, Pan's Labyrnth

Best Director
1. Martin Scorcese, The Departed
2. Clint Eastwood, Letters From Iwo Jima
--------------------
3. Stephen Frease, The Queen
4. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel
5. Paul Greengrass, United 93
Wild Card: Pedro Aldomovar, Volver

Best Actor
1. Forrest Whitaker, The Last King Of Scotland
2. Peter O'Toole, Venus
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
-----------------------------
4. Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
-----------------------------
5. Sasha Baron Cohen, Borat: Cultural Learnings Of America For Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
Wild Card: Will Smith, The Pursuit Of Happyness

Best Actress
1. Helen Mirren, The Queen
2. Judi Dench, Notes On A Scandal
3. Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
4. Penelope Cruz, Volver
5. Kate Winslet, Little Children
Wild Card: Abbie Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine

Best Supporting Actor
1. Jack Nicholson, The Departed
2. Djimon Houson, Blood Diamonds
3. Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children
---------------------------
4. Mark Wahlberg, The Departed
---------------------------
5. Michael Sheen, The Queen
Wild Card: Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls (just ahead of Brad)

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
2. Cate Blanchett, Notes On A Scandal
3. Rinko Kikuch, Babel
---------------------
4. Catharine O'Hara, For Your Consideration
--------------------
5. Adriana Barazza, Babel
Wild Card: Sharrepa Epps, Half Nelson

Original Screenplay
1. The Queen
2. Little Miss Sunshine
3. Stranger Than Fiction
4. Babel
--------------------------
5. Volver

Adapted Screenplay
1. The Painted Veil
2. Notes On A Scandal
3. Thank You For Smoking
4. The Departed
5. Dreamgirls

Start Notes: updated this weekend after LA, NYC and NYC Online release theirs. If Dreamgirls is missing, the lock might be a fake Best Pic

Notes On December 11: U93 returns to the challenge, The Queen looks like the main threat to weakened Dreamgirls, Half Nelson and Borat are making a lot more noise than expected and could spring two upsets in Actor, a surprise in Support and a dark horse for Best Picture in Borat - as well as AMPAS confusion with NYC giving it some Doc love. Peter is slipping and Leo has a nod by the skin of his teeth, which will die if he pushes Blood Diamond over The Departed, making Forrest almost guaranteed and no one is challenging Queen Helen, so the interest might just be Support Female after all.

Notes On December 27: Dreamgirls is getting no help at all from the crits (unlike the Brokeback juggernaught) and has been passed by The Queen and The Departed...and could slip behind U93 very soon as well. Babel is in over Letters, but barely. Foreign Film is almost done, especially if Water is Canada's selection - Pan's/Volver/Army of Shadows/Lives Of Others make probably the toughest top 4 slots in recent history for the category and any of them are deserving winners. Actress is finally done, with Kate back as the final lock in. Cate and Jackie Earle chose to make the Supporting categories more interesting, with Supp Actor being a toss-up and Cate trying to hang on to JHud's coattails.

I'll go out on a limb and say, in my only prediction for now, Pan's is a shoo-in to win Foreign Language. And yes, I know Volver's there.

One week before the nominations!

Best Picture
1. The Queen
2. The Departed
3. Dreamgirls
4. Babel
---------------------
5. United 93
Wild Card: Pan's Labyrnth or Little Miss Sunshine

Best Director
1. Martin Scorcese, The Departed
2. Clint Eastwood, Letters From Iwo Jima
3. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel
4. Paul Greengrass, United 93
--------------------
5. Stephen Frease, The Queen
Wild Card: Pedro Aldomovar, Volver

Best Actor
1. Forrest Whitaker, The Last King Of Scotland
2. Peter O'Toole, Venus
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
4. Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
-----------------------------
5. Sasha Baron Cohen, Borat: Cultural Learnings Of America For Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
Wild Card: Will Smith, The Pursuit Of Happyness

Best Actress
1. Helen Mirren, The Queen
2. Judi Dench, Notes On A Scandal
3. Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
4. Penelope Cruz, Volver
5. Kate Winslet, Little Children
Wild Card: no. there is no wild card. this cat has been done since December

Best Supporting Actor
1. Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children
2. Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
3. Jack Nicholson, The Departed
4. Djimon Houson, Blood Diamonds
---------------------------
5. Mark Wahlberg, The Departed
Wild Card: Michael Sheen, The Queen

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
2. Cate Blanchett, Notes On A Scandal
3. Rinko Kikuch, Babel
---------------------
4. Adriana Barazza, Babel
5. Sharrepa Epps, Half Nelson
Wild Card: Catharine O'Hara, For Your Consideration

Original Screenplay
1. The Queen
2. Little Miss Sunshine
3. Stranger Than Fiction
4. Babel
--------------------------
5. Volver

Adapted Screenplay
1. The Departed
2. Thank You For Smoking
3. The Painted Veil
4. Notes On A Scandal
5. Dreamgirls

Foreign Film
1. Pan's Labyrnth (Mexico)
2. Volver (Spain)
3. The Lives Of Others (Germany)
4. Water (Canada)
-----------------------
5. either the Swiss or Algerian film.

Start Notes: updated this weekend after LA, NYC and NYC Online release theirs. If Dreamgirls is missing, the lock might be a fake Best Pic

Notes On December 11: U93 returns to the challenge, The Queen looks like the main threat to weakened Dreamgirls, Half Nelson and Borat are making a lot more noise than expected and could spring two upsets in Actor, a surprise in Support and a dark horse for Best Picture in Borat - as well as AMPAS confusion with NYC giving it some Doc love. Peter is slipping and Leo has a nod by the skin of his teeth, which will die if he pushes Blood Diamond over The Departed, making Forrest almost guaranteed and no one is challenging Queen Helen, so the interest might just be Support Female after all.

Notes On December 27: Dreamgirls is getting no help at all from the crits (unlike the Brokeback juggernaught) and has been passed by The Queen and The Departed...and could slip behind U93 very soon as well. Babel is in over Letters, but barely. Foreign Film is almost done, especially if Water is Canada's selection - Pan's/Volver/Army of Shadows/Lives Of Others make probably the toughest top 4 slots in recent history for the category and any of them are deserving winners. Actress is finally done, with Kate back as the final lock in. Cate and Jackie Earle chose to make the Supporting categories more interesting, with Supp Actor being a toss-up and Cate trying to hang on to JHud's coattails.

Notes On January 15: So we're sitting at 4 locks in every category...except Actress, which has been done since the beginning of time. Supporting Actor is the only category that isn't quite a lock - Eddie Murphy would be an awesome win, but Jackie has come on way strong and the Academy loves them some Jack. Forrest, Helen and JHud should have those speeches ready. U93 and Little Miss are really the last two fighting, but Pan's Labyrnth does have a major Best Pic win that could see it become the 9th foreign film in the Best Pic race and the first since CTHD...and with the Best pic race really wide open (Dreamgirls has steam again, but not as much as it should; Babel stole thunder from The Departed and The Queen is a dark horse) anyone could still win.

Best Picture noms: Borat, Children of Men, The Departed, Pan's Labyrinth, United 93

WE CAN HOPE THEY GET IT RIGHT