The fact that Adele is nominated for every major award gives Gaga a better chance at winning. If Adele sweeps the big awards, AOTY, ROTY, and SOTY, Gaga is a shoo in for BPVA or even BPSP. Adele is NOT going to win everything and Gaga is the second best choice and a Grammy fave for the smaller awards.
Gaga will take home at least one award. Bookmark it, bbs.