I think VOTY will be:
Bruno Mars - JTWYA or Grenade
Eminem f/Rihanna - LTWYL (On lock)
Adele - RITD (On lock)
Katy Perry - Firework/LFN
Lady Gaga - BTW/Judas (On lock)
Mumford And Sons - LLM/The Cave
Honestly, I think RTW deserves a spot over any Gaga video that will no doubt be placed in the Video of the Year pool. Gaga is their new golden girl, so they'll give it to her regardless...the nomination at least, not the award itself.
Never-mind, weren't there like ninja movement going on in RITD? That will be her way of getting into the "Best Choreography" pool.
I don't think that video will get into there. There are other videos they could nominate and Adele probably won't be the one honored with a nomination. But if it does...
I've been told that the nominations for the 2011 MTV Video Music Awards -- which air live Sunday, August 28, at 9 p.m. ET on MTV -- are going to be announced on MTV and MTV.com on Wednesday night (July 20) at 11 p.m ET, and that means you should probably get ready for a whole lot of Katy Perry. And Adele. And Britney Spears. And Lady Gaga. Oh, and Rihanna too.