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Chart Listings: Billboard Hot 100 Singles (April 28-May 5, 2011)
Member Since: 1/4/2009
Posts: 11,404
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Quote:
Originally posted by Alexz
It's 55% Airplay, 40% Sales and 5% Streaming. All your streaming points are always multiplied by .05
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Hm thanks
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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Quote:
Originally posted by MrFatale
till the world ends is like 2months old.
and still outsold girls.
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Quote:
Originally posted by YaBoiJay18
I can't believe Chris Brown outsold FF.
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Quote:
Originally posted by MrFatale
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Quote:
Originally posted by YaBoiJay18
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Now you all better keep it cute. I don't want another thread getting locked.
RITD going #1 on Adult Pop Songs this coming week. 
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Member Since: 6/1/2010
Posts: 65,177
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@highwind44029 Do you think "Set Fire to the Rain" will smash hard in the U.S.? 
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Member Since: 4/20/2011
Posts: 4,134
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Quote:
Originally posted by Alexz
It's 55% Airplay, 40% Sales and 5% Streaming. All your streaming points are always multiplied by .05
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we've never gone by percentages before when estimating hot 100 lists, and it's always been accurate. When it's been really close, streaming usually makes up the difference, depending on who has a video or not.
i think it's point-based.
how else could those American Idol songs get to #1 on their own without airplay when sales only makes up 40% of the equation?
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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Quote:
Originally posted by KatyVenezuela
WEEK 16 YTD DIGITAL SONGS
Rank - Sales - TITLE - Artist
01 - 2,493,000 - F**K YOU (FORGET YOU) - Cee Lo Green
02 - 2,489,000 - E.T. - Katy Perry feat. Kanye West
03 - 2,390,000 - BORN THIS WAY - Lady GaGa
04 - 2,082,000 - S&M - Rihanna
05 - 2,023,000 - GRENADE - Bruno Mars
06 - 1,833,000 - FIREWORK - Katy Perry
07 - 1,800,000 - F**KIN' PERFECT - P!nk
08 - 1,740,000 - BLACK AND YELLOW - Wiz Khalifa
09 - 1,613,000 - I NEED A DOCTOR - Dr. Dre feat. Eminem & Skylar Grey
10 - 1,613,000 - ROLLING IN THE DEEP - Adele
11 - 1,492,000 - TONIGHT (I'M LOVIN' YOU) - Enrique Iglesias feat. Ludacris & DJ Frank E
12 - 1,482,000 - COMING HOME - Diddy - Dirty Money feat. Skylar Grey
13 - 1,481,000 - LOOK AT ME NOW - Chris Brown feat. Lil Waye
14 - 1,439,000 - ON THE FLOOR - Jennifer Lopez feat. Pitbull
15 - 1,381,000 - DOWN ON ME - Jeremih feat. 50 Cent
16 - 1,371,000 - WHAT THE HELL - Avril Lavigne
17 - 1,357,000 - JUST CAN'T GET ENOUGH - Black Eyed Peas
18 - 1,337,000 - BLOW - Ke$ha
19 - 1,334,000 - JAR OF HEARTS - Christina Perri
20 - 1,332,000 - 6 FOOT 7 FOOT - Lil Wayne feat. Cory Gunz
21 - 1,288,000 - HOLD IT AGAINST ME - Britney Spears
22 - 1,281,000 - TIME (DIRTY BIT) - Black Eyed Peas
23 - 1,273,000 - HEY BABY (DROP IT TO THE FLOOR - Pitbull feat. T-Pain
24 - 1,103,000 - MORE - Usher
25 - 1,048,000 - NO HANDS - Waka Flocka Flame
26 - 1,038,000 - WE R WHO WE R - Ke$ha
27 - 1,037,000 - THE SHOW GOES ON - Lupe Fiasco
28 - 1,035,000 - ROCKETEER - Far*East Movement feat. Ryan Tedder
29 - 997,000 - RAISE YOUR GLASS - P!nk
30 - 940,000 - NEVER SAY NEVER - Justin Bieber feat. Jaden Smith
31 - 917,000 - JUST THE WAY YOU ARE - Bruno Mars
32 - 904,000 - TILL THE WORLD ENDS - Britney Spears
33 - 897,000 - MOMENT 4 LIFE - Nicki Minaj feat. Drake
34 - 884,000 - YEAH 3X - Chris Brown
35 - 881,000 - WHAT'S MY NAME? - Rihanna
36 - 875,000 - PRETTY GIRL ROCK - Keri Hilson
37 - 867,000 - STEREO LOVE - Edward Maya & Vika Jigulina
38 - 816,000 - DON'T YOU WANNA STAY - Jason Aldean with Kelly Clarkson
39 - 795,000 - ALL OF THE LIGHTS - Kanye West
40 - 770,000 - DYNAMITE - Taio Cruz
@OldBloke from UkMix.
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E.T next week Rolling in the Deep top10
 @ HIAM
Dynamite |
Going by this, my estimated year-end Top 5 so far is:
1. Grenade
2. Firework
3. **** You
4. ****in' Perfect
5. Born This Way
E.T. is going to be #1 by around July though when all those songs above get less and less sales and recurrent airplay. Firework might also pass Grenade because of its AC airplay.
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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Quote:
Originally posted by Cap10Planet
@highwind44029 Do you think "Set Fire to the Rain" will smash hard in the U.S.? |
I think so, especially if it comes off the heels of Rolling In The Deep.
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Member Since: 1/4/2009
Posts: 11,404
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Quote:
Originally posted by spree
we've never gone by percentages before when estimating hot 100 lists, and it's always been accurate. When it's been really close, streaming usually makes up the difference, depending on who has a video or not.
i think it's point-based.
how else could those American Idol songs get to #1 on their own without airplay when sales only makes up 40% of the equation?
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yep this is what I was trying to understand. a song can go #1 on airplay or sales alone and well, though never happened, on streaming alone too if it gets gazillion views. that's how I understand the system
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Member Since: 8/16/2010
Posts: 19,703
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Quote:
Originally posted by highwind44029
Going by this, my estimated year-end Top 5 so far is:
1. Grenade
2. Firework
3. **** You
4. ****in' Perfect
5. Born This Way
E.T. is going to be #1 by around July though when all those songs above get less and less sales and recurrent airplay. Firework might also pass Grenade because of its AC airplay.
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1. E.T
2. Firework
At the End? It seems almost impossible  But Only Katy can do it 
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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The Year-end Hot 100 will count Grenade and Firework's huge Christmas sales week as well as the succeeding weeks, which is estimated to be over 1.5M for each, which is still a lot for E.T. to catch up on.
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Member Since: 4/20/2011
Posts: 4,134
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Quote:
Originally posted by KRL
yep this is what I was trying to understand. a song can go #1 on airplay or sales alone and well, though never happened, on streaming alone too if it gets gazillion views. that's how I understand the system
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Glee is another prime example of why it's point-based. They don't have any airplay, and yet they can debut in the top 10 with just sales.
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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The only times streaming made a difference from what I remember is when OG got screwed for like two weeks by Like A G6.
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Member Since: 4/20/2011
Posts: 4,134
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i think Firework will beat E.T. in the end because it will have longevity on HotAC and AC. It's a huge staple already. I can imagine LFN will be the same, but it might come out too late to be a serious contender. I think so far it will be:
Firework
Grenade
**** You
E.T.
****in' Perfect
...
...
...
20. Born This Way (doesn't have enough overall airplay, and sales aren't THAT fantastic)
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Member Since: 4/20/2011
Posts: 4,134
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Quote:
Originally posted by highwind44029
The only times streaming made a difference from what I remember is when OG got screwed for like two weeks by Like A G6.
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plus the week when it was Love the Way You Lie vs. Teenage Dream. TD actually had more chart points (sales + airplay), but LTWYL beat it out because of heavy streaming.
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Member Since: 10/19/2010
Posts: 16,335
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California Gurls came in May and went to #4 on the year-end chart, so it could be possible for LFN as well. Imagine Katy with 3 songs in the Top 10.
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Member Since: 8/24/2008
Posts: 40,932
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So "Blow " has sold 1,337,000 in 2011 which definitly means it's passed 1.4 million overall. 
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Member Since: 2/22/2008
Posts: 46,108
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TTWE going platinum this week . Another one in the bag for my queen
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Member Since: 9/21/2010
Posts: 29,122
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Quote:
Originally posted by highwind44029
The only times streaming made a difference from what I remember is when OG got screwed for like two weeks by Like A G6.
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I remember those painful 2 weeks inside the Rihanna Navy  Only Girl would have been a 3 week+ number one if only Def Jam and Rih played the game right.
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Member Since: 3/30/2009
Posts: 79,408
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Quote:
Originally posted by KatyVenezuela
WEEK 16 YTD DIGITAL SONGS
Rank - Sales - TITLE - Artist
01 - 2,493,000 - F**K YOU (FORGET YOU) - Cee Lo Green
02 - 2,489,000 - E.T. - Katy Perry feat. Kanye West
03 - 2,390,000 - BORN THIS WAY - Lady GaGa
04 - 2,082,000 - S&M - Rihanna
05 - 2,023,000 - GRENADE - Bruno Mars
06 - 1,833,000 - FIREWORK - Katy Perry
07 - 1,800,000 - F**KIN' PERFECT - P!nk
08 - 1,740,000 - BLACK AND YELLOW - Wiz Khalifa
09 - 1,613,000 - I NEED A DOCTOR - Dr. Dre feat. Eminem & Skylar Grey
10 - 1,613,000 - ROLLING IN THE DEEP - Adele
11 - 1,492,000 - TONIGHT (I'M LOVIN' YOU) - Enrique Iglesias feat. Ludacris & DJ Frank E
12 - 1,482,000 - COMING HOME - Diddy - Dirty Money feat. Skylar Grey
13 - 1,481,000 - LOOK AT ME NOW - Chris Brown feat. Lil Waye
14 - 1,439,000 - ON THE FLOOR - Jennifer Lopez feat. Pitbull
15 - 1,381,000 - DOWN ON ME - Jeremih feat. 50 Cent
16 - 1,371,000 - WHAT THE HELL - Avril Lavigne
17 - 1,357,000 - JUST CAN'T GET ENOUGH - Black Eyed Peas
18 - 1,337,000 - BLOW - Ke$ha
19 - 1,334,000 - JAR OF HEARTS - Christina Perri
20 - 1,332,000 - 6 FOOT 7 FOOT - Lil Wayne feat. Cory Gunz
21 - 1,288,000 - HOLD IT AGAINST ME - Britney Spears
22 - 1,281,000 - TIME (DIRTY BIT) - Black Eyed Peas
23 - 1,273,000 - HEY BABY (DROP IT TO THE FLOOR - Pitbull feat. T-Pain
24 - 1,103,000 - MORE - Usher
25 - 1,048,000 - NO HANDS - Waka Flocka Flame
26 - 1,038,000 - WE R WHO WE R - Ke$ha
27 - 1,037,000 - THE SHOW GOES ON - Lupe Fiasco
28 - 1,035,000 - ROCKETEER - Far*East Movement feat. Ryan Tedder
29 - 997,000 - RAISE YOUR GLASS - P!nk
30 - 940,000 - NEVER SAY NEVER - Justin Bieber feat. Jaden Smith
31 - 917,000 - JUST THE WAY YOU ARE - Bruno Mars
32 - 904,000 - TILL THE WORLD ENDS - Britney Spears
33 - 897,000 - MOMENT 4 LIFE - Nicki Minaj feat. Drake
34 - 884,000 - YEAH 3X - Chris Brown
35 - 881,000 - WHAT'S MY NAME? - Rihanna
36 - 875,000 - PRETTY GIRL ROCK - Keri Hilson
37 - 867,000 - STEREO LOVE - Edward Maya & Vika Jigulina
38 - 816,000 - DON'T YOU WANNA STAY - Jason Aldean with Kelly Clarkson
39 - 795,000 - ALL OF THE LIGHTS - Kanye West
40 - 770,000 - DYNAMITE - Taio Cruz
@OldBloke from UkMix.
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E.T next week Rolling in the Deep top10
@ HIAM
Dynamite |
Its sales don’t count because of iTunes’ “Complete My Album” feature.
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Member Since: 3/30/2011
Posts: 767
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Quote:
Originally posted by highwind44029
California Gurls came in May and went to #4 on the year-end chart, so it could be possible for LFN as well. Imagine Katy with 3 songs in the Top 10. |
However, there is one very big difference that you did not take into consideration: California Gurls was the lead single, while Last Friday Night will be a fifth single. LFN may still have a very successful run on the charts, but I would not hold my breath with expectations that a fifth single will perform just as well as the lead single.
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Member Since: 8/16/2010
Posts: 19,703
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Quote:
Originally posted by Duca
Its sales don’t count because of iTunes’ “Complete My Album” feature.
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That happens just to her?  I though it was for every artist.
Quote:
Originally posted by pride4jc1222
However, there is one very big difference that you did not take into consideration: California Gurls was the lead single, while Last Friday Night will be a fifth single. LFN may still have a very successful run on the charts, but I would not hold my breath with expectations that a fifth single will perform just as well as the lead single.
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This. LFN has a LOT of potential, but it's already a 5th Single. I'll be very happy with 3xPlatinum (even with 2xPlatinum.) 
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