Discussion: U.S. Election 2016 - Page 2612

Bloo

Quote:

Originally posted by WeFoundWill

At what time will the results be revealed ?

Hard to say. I'm guessing around 11pm. It'll all come down to which states we can declare before the 9th.

Dessy Fenix

Quote:

Originally posted by Meh

Add Wisconsin in there as well! From this list, I think Wisconsin and Illinois are very strong for Dems. Pennsylvania/Nevada's races are leaning Dem, which puts it at 49 seats for Dems. New Hampshire is a literal coin toss, but I expect NH polls to rebound after this FBI news - and because of a much better New Hampshire Dem ground game. Jason Kander is very close in Missouri, but he'll have to run several points ahead of Hillary for him to pull off a win.

Indiana is probably lost at this point because Evan Bayh screwed up his +10 lead HARD. Examples include being unable to remember his correct Indiana address, being registered as an inactive voter in Indiana, and using taxpayer money to pay for Indy hotel stays (not that much money, but not good optics at all).

Whoops! Forgot about Wisconsin.

I'm not putting Indiana/Bayh out of the equation just yet. I'm hoping Gregg will still drive Dems turnout in some areas

---

Slightly unrelated but my college paper had a non partisan comparison for Bayh vs Young and I don't think I ever disagreed with so much from the Republican side

Young cannot win, smh Bayh whyyy

Euan

Quote:

Originally posted by Bloo

Hard to say. I'm guessing around 11pm. It'll all come down to which states we can declare before the 9th.

I love your avi. She looks so happy

Benzene

All of Trumps new ads leading with the email thing.

That 2 minute spot being immediately invalidated.

Meh

Quote:

Originally posted by Euan

I cannot believe Bayh screwed up so monumentally in Indiana. It was such a dead cert a month ago.

I was so sure he was going to win that I stopped worrying about the senate majority. Now it's seeming more and more likely that on Tuesday, the Dems will either have 49 seats or exactly 50.

TheLastChord

Quote:

Originally posted by WeFoundWill

At what time will the results be revealed ?

If the first results of all the EAST coast that will be around 9-10ET show that she has VA, NH and either NC or FL in the bag, then the rest will be rather predictable. She'll just need to get her blue states and that's pretty much it.

It could be called rather early if there are no blue states upsets, which seems unlikely in any place other than NH

Gui Blackout

Quote:

Originally posted by qmpierre

He is such a zaddy and that ad where he put the gun together blindfolded still keeps me erect in my sense of patriotism for this great country

oh my

i'm.. imagining... things

Meh

Quote:

Originally posted by Dessy Fenix

Whoops! Forgot about Wisconsin.

I'm not putting Indiana/Bayh out of the equation just yet. I'm hoping Gregg will still drive Dems turnout in some areas

---

Slightly unrelated but my college paper had a non partisan comparison for Bayh vs Young and I don't think I ever disagreed with so much from the Republican side

Young cannot win, smh Bayh whyyy

Let me put in a prayer then, Gregg better prop up Bayh's sleepwalking campaign.

imabadkid

Quote:

Originally posted by Benzene

All of Trumps new ads leading with the email thing.

That 2 minute spot being immediately invalidated.

Omg, I forgot about that

Literally just wasted the little bit of money left that he's putting into his campaign.

geo

If Jason Kander loses I'll be so pissed

Concrete

@BowTiePolitics:
Who might be the power behind the rise of NC's unaffiliated absentee voters? Urban Millennials.

hooky

Quote:

Originally posted by Euan

I cannot believe Bayh screwed up so monumentally in Indiana. It was such a dead cert a month ago.

tbh he probably ruined Gregg's chances as well. Should have just ran Baron Hill and let Young implode with Trump.

retromaury

i hope we get florida early. Thats how we will know

Euan

Quote:

Originally posted by Meh

I was so sure he was going to win that I stopped worrying about the senate majority. Now it's seeming more and more likely that on Tuesday, the Dems will either have 49 seats or exactly 50.

ffs

I thought Wisconsin, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire were all but in the bag? Wouldn't that be enough?

I still think Kander can pull through though. I guess they'll eke out a 51-49 majority, with Bayh narrowly losing.

Euan

Quote:

Originally posted by hooky

tbh he probably ruined Gregg's chances as well. Should have just ran Baron Hill and let Young implode with Trump.

Yeah, looks like Bayh turned out to be a poisoned chalice.

What's the tea on the Gov race though? Is there early voting in IN? What are the latest polls?

Jacketh

Hillary Clinton is going to win me £100

I still don't like you but

Queen

foxaylove

Quote:

Originally posted by retromaury

i hope we get florida early. Thats how we will know

It will. Before Tuesday, over 60% of their voters will have voted already. By 10pm EST at the latest, Florida will be called.

Dessy Fenix

If Kander loses, I hope Hillary snatches him up for cabinet position or something. He's too beautiful to disappear

Euan

My American relatives are from Elkhart, Indiana and I'm pretty sure they're voting Trump and Young. They voted Romney in 2012.

We don't claim them.

Meh

Quote:

Originally posted by Euan

ffs

I thought Wisconsin, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire were all but in the bag? Wouldn't that be enough?

I still think Kander can pull through though. I guess they'll eke out a 51-49 majority, with Bayh narrowly losing.

The first four states are looking very good. New Hampshire is almost exactly 50-50 on 538 right now, but that's because all the recent state polls happened post-FBI. Luckily for the senate race, New Hampshire doesn't let you vote early unless you're out of state or are physically unable to. That means this FBI news hasn't sunken chances for a senate majority, and both Clinton/Hassan should rebound thanks to today's news.