If it gets sent to radio soon, it has a good chance of outpeaking both. Even if it gets a terrible rollout like Into You though, I think it will still at least outpeak Into You.
It's impossible to say right now. It's off to a very promising start, but it could very well peak lower since the sales and streaming it has now will have to be sustained for a long time while the airplay catches up.
It deserves to be a top 5, but realistically will either peak in the 8-10 range if it even makes it into the top ten at all. The momentum from the era was killed by "Dangerous Woman" being the lead, tbh.