Discussion: U.S. Election 2016 - Page 847

King Maxx

Quote:

Originally posted by LuLuDrops

How are tight Senate races looking?

Could we still snatch a majority?

They are all over the place. It's hard because a lot of them still have primaries. I think it comes down to who wins what state and by what margin tbh.

Benzene

I think McGinty will beat Toomey here in PA.

Life Savers

NC and OH are the trickiest for me right now. PA will be probably be close but I expect her to come through. Love that GA got interesting too, even though so far I don't see her winning at all.

RatedG²

Quote:

Originally posted by Benzene

I think she's more likely to lose PA than CO/VA/NV. But I don't see PA as quite as much of a tossup as NC. I wouldn't be surprised if she lost it but I still expect her to win it.

I've starting seeing Hillary ads here though...so she knows it's competitive. No Trump ads yet. But PA has been that "THIS is the year Republicans will win it!" tease for 20 years. So I'll believe it when I see it.

Yeah I agree with this. It's definitely not a pure toss up like NC but if she lost it then I wouldn't be surprised. She has here in Philadelphia shored up as well as Pitt but the surrounding suburbs are those blue collar dems she has to make an appeal on to win. He has some real appeal there and she's weak so if she lost it by big enough margins then it's curtains. Wouldn't expect it however

I saw a few ads from Hillary and the NRA (not Trump though lol). It's hilarious

. It is trending much more republican recently so we will see

Benzene

I want Clinton to send Obama to Atlanta just to scare the **** out of Republicans.

RatedG²

Quote:

Originally posted by Benzene

I want Clinton to send Obama to Atlanta just to scare the **** out of Republicans.

I need her in Phoenix

King Maxx

Virginia is not a toss-up to me because Tim is on the ticket. It has one of the best economies in the whole state, thanks to Obama and Dems leadership, he won it by healthy margins in both elections, the growing diverse demographic.

But by all means let him campaign there and other blue states like NY (

) while Hillary fights to keep Ohio.

Damien M

Quote:

Originally posted by Benzene

I feel like CO, VA and NV are barely even swing states. Clinton's campaign seems to feel the same, hence the lack of campaigning.

I think she picks up FL too. I agree that OH is super tricky...I think the lack of a Kasich endorsement will hurt Trump in the end and Clinton will take it.

Obama only won PA by 5% and Appalachia is Trump's base, but I think Philly and Pitt will be enough to overcome them (as usual). Do not be fooled by the Bernie or Busters who infiltrated Philly last week---Philadelphia is pure Hillary country.

To me the most interesting states are NC and, strangely enough, GA. I expect Trump to win GA but I'm really curious to see the margin. NC is hard to predict, though that voter ID law getting tossed definitely helps Dems. I'd still give the edge to Trump but it's hard to call.

All of this is subject to change as new events unfold, of course.

I think she can win NC if they find a way to turn out the black vote in Charlotte, Durham etc in droves
GA will be interesting as well. Can Atlanta come thru?
(Wow blacks really do all the heavy lifting in the Democratic party, don't we?)

King Maxx

Quote:

Originally posted by Damien M

I think she can win NC if they find a way to turn out the black vote in Charlotte, Durham etc in droves
GA will be interesting as well. Can Atlanta come thru?
(Wow blacks really do all the heavy lifting in the Democratic party, don't we?)

Yes we do. Give those 11M Hispanics citizenship and we're set.
===
It's crazy how different this country would be without CA and NY leaning Dem. Without y'all, the rest of us would be so worse off. We basically get all of our rights and liberal policies because of y'all.

Ramcoro

She was leading Trump by 1 point in Missouri, tied in Georgia, close in Arizona, and leading by a lot in North Carolina.

Damien M

Quote:

Originally posted by King Maxx

Yes we do. Give those 11M Hispanics citizenship and we're set.
===
It's crazy how different this country would be without CA and NY leaning Dem. Without y'all, the rest of us would be so worse off. We basically get all of our rights and liberal policies because of y'all.

I like the idea of amnesty but at the same time i don't. We'd probably need a referendum for that though

And the 2nd part is so, so true.
Cali's 55 EVs that the GOP will never, ever get

Skywalker

It's interesting how similar both Republicans and Democrats were throughout the 40s and 50s.

It's bizarre (and horrific) to think that the Southern Strategy and the implementation of the Civil Rights Act caused some people to utterly lose it for decades. Sad too. People aren't lying when they say even the modern parts of our country's history are molded off of racism.

Achilles.

Quote:

Originally posted by LuLuDrops

Why courts are striking down voter restrictions across the country right now:

Lower courts are emboldened by a 4–4 split and the Supreme Court’s abortion ruling to strike down specious voting laws.

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_a..._all_dt_tw_bot

Scalia's afterlife impact

How many states tried to pass / successfully passed voting restrictions after the VRA was gutted? Something like 17, right? I know NC has already struck theirs down... Hope the rest manage to as well.

Quote:

Originally posted by CannibalMonster

Trump just called Hillary "the devil" at one of his campaigns.

According to the PPP poll, 33% of Trump supporters already think she has ties to Lucifer, so it'd be funny if Trump tries to capitalize on that. Not the GOP starting a literal witch hunt on Hillary.

Quote:

Originally posted by King Maxx

It's crazy how different this country would be without CA and NY leaning Dem. Without y'all, the rest of us would be so worse off. We basically get all of our rights and liberal policies because of y'all.

California is good, New York is great, thank the Lord that Dems run these two states!

Could Hillary manage to win more southern states than any democratic candidate since Bill?

Obama topped out with five/six southern states, Kerry and Gore had like one between them, but Bill had a **** ton.

Mike91

Quote:

Originally posted by King Maxx

Hillary wins NH (with Bernie's help). She barely wins/loses Iowa.

She needs to pimp Bernie out in NH. She should also send him out to college towns to get young people to register to vote.

RatedG²

Depends on what you count as the south tbh Achilles. For example would you count Maryland as the south? Many people do

She could win a lot of southern states but not as much as Bill

ariesjow

Fresh update from FiveThirtyEight:

Polls-plus forecast
What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8

Hillary Clinton - 68.0%
Donald Trump - 32.0%

Polls-only forecast
What polls alone tell us about Nov. 8

Hillary Clinton - 64.8%
Donald Trump - 35.1%

Now-cast
Who would win an election today

Hillary Clinton - 83.8%
Donald Trump - 16.2%

Blade

Quote:

Originally posted by ariesjow

Fresh update from FiveThirtyEight:

Polls-plus forecast
What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8

Hillary Clinton - 68.0%
Donald Trump - 32.0%

Polls-only forecast
What polls alone tell us about Nov. 8

Hillary Clinton - 64.8%
Donald Trump - 35.1%

Now-cast
Who would win an election today

Hillary Clinton - 83.8%
Donald Trump - 16.2%

99 days....99 days...

Citrus

I'll cry if Trump wins Ohio

King Maxx

Quote:

Originally posted by RatedG²

Depends on what you count as the south tbh Achilles. For example would you count Maryland as the south? Many people do

She could win a lot of southern states but not as much as Bill

The Deep South. The racist, red South.

She can get Georgia, that's it. The rest will stay red for a few more election cycles.

Bloo

Am I the only one that thinks Trump is trying to lose..? If he were trying to win, he would let this Khan controversy die...