Lemonade contains explicit lyrics, it will negate its chances for Album of the Year. Keep in mind, theres no other AOTY winner which has explicit content except from Outkast
Also, no AOTY winner has a Metacritic score of 90+ except Outkast as well
25 has the better chances than the two imo. Its pros are demographically universal than any album in 2016, tremendous sales success exemplified by its 160 days at #1 in iTunes WW albums, acclaim wise, its very well received too. Keep in mind, 25 also swept the early BRIT Awards. Adele is a Grammy darling in the big categories
