Never normally post here but in the spirit of the referendum thought I'd make my debut.
I'll be supporting Leave, unfortunately a couple of months too young to actually vote but I've convinced my family.
The polls say it's really close right now but I think they're just playing it safe after last year's fiasco. We don't have referendums regularly so it's really hard to poll on this. I just don't see it being very close. My gut feeling is it will either be comfortable Remain or comfortable Leave.
If it is close though, like 51/49, the issue won't go away anytime soon. I'm really intrigued though, if we do Brexit, do Labour continue their pro-EU rhetoric? Conservatives will respect the will of the people, but Labour have been shook lately by the massive support for Leave in their own heartlands. (If we vote Leave, it'll be because of Labour voters.)
I'm confident we won't hold a second referendum if it's a Leave vote. If we do, it'll just be even more in favour of Leave. People won't react kindly to the establishment not liking the result so deciding to run another vote. What happened in Ireland was huge ammunition for eurosceptics.