YAS at that poll showing 20% going for other or not-voting Plus we had a state senator switch to the LP a few days ago A small but notable change - the LP is coming for Ross Perot numbers if we continue along this track.
Trump polling VERY low with whites compared to Romney. The same pollster shows him at 29 or so with Asians and "other" non-black non-Hispanic demographics, and even with Romney for black voters at just 6.1. Other polls suggest he'll get about 22 points with Hispanic voters.
With those demographics, assuming approximately the same turnout as 2012, the RCP map estimates...
TEXAS HOLY ****.
436 - 102 for Hillary, electorally.
The obliteration
I truly do think the electoral map in November will look similar to this. Reality will kick in and people will throw Trump in the trash.
Also, I REALLY hope that the Libertarian Party starts heavily cutting into the conservative base in the coming months. I may have my many issues with the party and their candidates, but they are infinitely better than Trump and should be the real face of conservative Americans if that ideological portion of our country wants to make progress and step into this century.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/qZG3z
Ways in which Hillary could win (only 1 is necessary):
- Win Florida
- Win Ohio
- Win Virginia
- Win Nevada and Colorado
- Turn Georgia
- Turn Texas!
- Turn any 2 red states with 13 total votes
http://www.270towin.com/maps/qZG3z
Ways in which Hillary could win (only 1 is necessary):
- Win Florida
- Win Ohio
- Win Virginia
- Win Nevada and Colorado
- Turn Georgia
- Turn Texas!
- Turn any 2 red states with 13 total votes
Trump polling VERY low with whites compared to Romney. The same pollster shows him at 29 or so with Asians and "other" non-black non-Hispanic demographics, and even with Romney for black voters at just 6.1. Other polls suggest he'll get about 22 points with Hispanic voters.
With those demographics, assuming approximately the same turnout as 2012, the RCP map estimates...
I think she needs a Texan male for her VP tick if she wants the most success. Not another yankee woman. Americans are sexist (esp the south)
Yeah I'm not seeing the appeal of two women on one ticket either.
Trump is unable to pivot (he's still busy insulting Mexican judges), he's going to lose the female vote regardless, so she just needs to stop bleeding white male voters and focus on the swing states.
I don't think anyone who would refuse to vote for a two-woman ticket is currently going to support her anyway. A woman-led ticket is affected by sexism as much as a two-woman ticket.
Mitch McConnell refusing to condemn the racist tirade Trump went out on on that judge. I get that these people want to be reelected but they are so short sighted.
A small but notable change - the LP is coming for Ross Perot numbers if we continue along this track.
I get that these people want to be reelected but they are so short sighted.