.

This is our safe haven for the most part.

Her not having a lead doesn't imply that Bernie does.

And 15 really isn't a lead, but okay!

So the word you were looking for was "barely"

Yes

But of course the Hillary Hens have to get so technical just to seem right.

Yes it does

This backtracking.

This is an interesting graph it shows what Bernie needs to win a majority of pledged delegates. http://polichart.com/interactives/bern-path

He needs 57% in Wisconsin, 54% in New York, and 54% in California.

This dismissal of the southern voters as if we never voted blue since the 60's or 70's must end.

Last time a Democrat won Virginia = 2012 (Back-to-back General Elections)
Last time a Democrat won Florida = 2012 (Back-to-back General Elections)
Last time a Democrat won North Carolina = 2008 (2 general elections ago)
Last time a Democrat won Louisiana = 1996 (Bill won it in '92 and '96)
Last time a Democrat won Arkansas = 1996 (Bill won it in '92 and '96)
Last time a Democrat won Tennessee = 1996 (Bill won it in '92 and '96)
Last time a Democrat won Kentucky = 1996 (Bill won it in '92 and '96)
Last time a Democrat won Georgia = 1992 (Has become a legit purple state these days)

FYI, Hillary had more votes in Louisiana than Trump, Cruz, and almost all of Rubio's votes combined. There were more Democratic voters than Republicans. My state actually may be purple again like it was in the 80's and 90's (when we would swing either way). Georgia has been trending to the middle lately and has become a legit purple state with Virginia and North Carolina as of late.

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States that voted Blue in 2012 General with 2016 Primary Season

(Iowa) - 23 delegates for Hillary and 21 delegates for Bernie
(New Hampshire) - 9 delegates for Hillary and 15 delegates for Bernie
(Nevada) - 20 delegates for Hillary and 15 delegates for Bernie
(Colorado) - 28 delegates for Hillary and 38 delegates for Bernie
(Massachusetts) - 46 delegates for Hillary and 45 delegates for Bernie
(Minnesota) - 31 delegates for Hillary and 46 delegates for Bernie
(Vermont) - 0 delegates for Hillary and 16 delegates for Bernie
(Virginia) - 62 delegates for Hillary and 33 delegates for Bernie
(Maine) - 9 delegates for Hillary and 16 delegates for Bernie
(Michigan) - 63 delegates for Hillary and 67 delegates for Bernie
(Florida) - 141 delegates for Hillary and 73 delegates for Bernie
(Illinois) - 78 delegates for Hillary and 78 delegates for Bernie
(Ohio) - 81 delegates for Hillary and 62 delegates for Bernie
(Hawaii) 8 delegates for Hillary and 17 delegates for Bernie
(Washington) 27 delegates for Hillary and 74 delegates for Bernie

Total for Hillary - 626 delegates (7 blue states won)
Total for Bernie - 616 delegates (8 blue states won)
Popular vote would favor Hillary

If you count the territories who can on vote in the primaries and not the general

(American Samoa) - 4 delegates for Hillary and 2 delegates for Bernie
(Northern Marianas) - 4 delegates for Hillary and 2 delegates for Bernie
(Democrats Abroad) - 4 delegates for Hillary and 9 delegates for Bernie

Total for Hillary - 638 delegates (9 blue states/territories won)
Total for Bernie - 629 delegates (9 blue states/territories won)
Popular vote would favor Hillary

Even with the "BLUE" states, Hillary is edging him out in 2/3 big categories (Popular vote and pledged delegate count).


Traditional swing states for the longest that hold the most importance has always been Ohio and Florida. Those states voted Hillary by overwhelming numbers.

I thought of doing 2008, but I did 2012 instead. Just to go off of the most recent election results.

Thanks. I'll be keeping an eye on this

It never started. Well not in this thread at least, but ty for compiling that information for me

Talent is winning

"The revolution never came!" will be one of my favorite politicial sayings for years to come.

I'm glad you did 2012, it's interesting to see that Hillary would still be in the lead in multiple elections. I chose 2008 because it was the last election with no incumbent.

after watching The Childhood's End, the part where he says world peace really unsettles me

Could bernie be a false prophet? Are the end times near?

Hillary and Bill need to lay off with the emails!

On the bright side though, I'm excited for my free Obama Democrat bumper sticker!

Right now yes. In the past week through next week, there were and will be 8 particular states that was tailor-made for him. But then comes New York, and basically after that the rest of April is Hillary's turf. She will win the nomination if that's what you're asking.

Well.... he won the last few states.. But he is 2.5 Million votes behind Hillary.. And 250 pledged delegates behind, so while he is winning now--Hillary will win overall.

Don't even try to compare the two.... Thats just ridiculous.

Even if he won those states by those margins, he would still be at LEAST 200 delegates behind. That would be like a 7 delegate gain fro wisconsin, an 8 delegate can in NY and a 16 delegate gain in California?? He needs MUCH bigger wins than that sis. I'm talking a 20 point victory in Wisconsin, at least 15 points in both NY and California as well.....