Donald Trump loves to brag that he's ahead of Hillary Clinton in the polls. "I beat Hillary Clinton in many polls," he repeatedly insisted at a debate earlier this month.

Here on planet Earth, that isn't true or even close to true. In 33 general election polls tracked by HuffPost Pollster over the past two months, Trump has led Clinton in just one and has led Bernie Sanders in none.

Clinton vs Trump polling average
(since June 2015)



Sanders vs Trump polling average
(since August 2015)



Trump now trails Clinton by 9 points in the HuffPost Pollster polling average and by 11.2 points in RealClearPolitics' average — and he's behind Bernie Sanders by even more (11.8 points according to HuffPost polling average and 15.8 points according to RealClearPolitics polling average) in both.

Any of these showings from Trump would be the weakest performance from a major party nominee in the past 20 years.

Crucially, Trump's decline has happened just when these polls actually start to mean something. In newer polls, Trump almost never comes close to either Clinton or Sanders anymore. And in past races, changes in general election polling that have occurred during this period of the campaign have often ended up sticking.

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Chart showing the reliability of polls over the last 60 years in relation to the amount of days until election (the election is in 221 days, as of March 31st)

Originally posted by Plague

Cher's impacT

Originally posted by Attitude