I think Ang Lee would have a better chance at getting her a nom esp as this movie's not about Asians (See: Crouching Tiger/Life of Pi's lack of actor awards love.), but if this is one of Allen's good movies (His last two got 53 and 54 on Metacritic.) he would in theory have a better chance of getting her a win.
Cuz none of Ang Lee's actors have won, while Allen has a bunch. Though Weaver and Gyllenhaal got Bafta wins, while Winslet won Bafta and Sag. Winslet lost to...an Allen actress.
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i'm here for Michelle williams!!!she deserve a oscar
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Pray for Manchester by the Sea. Certain Women seems nothing like what the Oscars like.