I feel like Adele may loose no. 1 on BIllboard 200 due to Purpose's streaming

Due to inavailability to Spotify. But rest assured every week 25 will have the higher PURE sales than Purpose's.

As she should, if Justin's SPS beats her sales. Its how the game works now.

Yes I agree. With the sales and streaming growing faster for LY and having Sorry already peaked at core formats, LY should be the one to knock off Hello. However I would add how quickly LY takes off at radio will determine whether it's 12 or 13 weeks for Hello. Airplay is going to be hard to read this week anyway.

The margin of sales has widened again for Hello over Sorry, but that will likely vary throughout the week. If LY overtakes Sorry on ODS (they're super close) and LY continues to widen its lead over Sorry in sales, radio will pull away from Sorry faster and LY's momentum will build.

I also agree with UNNAMI that WDYM's longevity is also probably holding Sorry back -- just a bit, but in a tight race, a bit is big.

I'm hear for Sorry getting a week or two, followed by Love Yourself, and then Stressed Out

And then When We Were Young can fight for the top after her Grammy performance

25 is overrated

Bubbling Under:
2 12 16 4 Heartbeat, Carrie Underwood 2

this isn't meant to happen

I think TEA should be limited to only "officially" released songs from a CD, not every song on the album. I know this would help Bieber over Adele (three officially released singles compared to one right now), but I only think songs promoted by the label should count toward the BB 200. I wish there was a way to track just what songs were being streamed instead of the entire album. Then you could proportionally add streaming to the units to the total points without crediting the full CD. I definitely believe SEA & TEA should be part of the BB200, but within those limits.

Does Sorry still has a chance at #1?

Does Same Old Love still has a chance to go top 5?

It depends on who you ask regarding Sorry. I believe Love Yourself is the Bieber song that'll replace Hello, but others say Sorry will. Either WDYM or HB are bound to fall out of the Top Five eventually, and that would open up a slot for SOL unless another song jumps it.

You don't understant OCC point - they try to measure popularity whole album, not album's track. They doesn't remove plays of 2 top streamed songs - these songs gain whole average so...

Also 1,500 is too much. On-demand audio payout $0.007 per play is for whole right holders. If you buy $10.5 iTunes album, right holders get only 56.96% percent of $10.5 (15% VAT tax in Luxembourg and 30% for iTunes.)

Sorry is coming for #1 next week and Stressed Out is coming for the top 5

The album sales gap is still big, she is over him by ~100k but with SPS he gets closed, I think that if Adele doesn't promote or send the album to streaming services Justin will overtake her in 2 weeks with SPS.

Sorry's chances are almost gone already unless Adele drops hard in all components.

I think Sorry will be #1 this week. I'd say it's 70-30 for Sorry at the moment.

SOL top 5 sadly is super unlikely at this point.
It's losing points faster than WDYM and Stressed Out will probably pass it this week...

So do all the people who predicted Sorry to go #1 still think it has a chance even though it fell on iTunes? Maybe I'm just overestimating the influence of sales cause I know it's the least important component..

Updated predictions
2 more days of streaming and sales and 5 more days of airplay, but Sorry again lost less in airplay than Hello

Song	Downloads	Airplay	Streams	Points
Sorry	160.000	136.000.000	21.500.000	597
Hello	177.000	165.000.000	17.100.000	589

I hate predicting downloads by myself, but the gap seems to have grown a bit bigger than the 10k kworb had on Monday.

With the current percentages the sales gap must be around 15K at best.

I'd like to know this to.