Quote:
Originally posted by Chucko
Yet after 2008 the Republicans were declared dead and in 2010 they won in a landslide, 2012 they won back the Senate and increased their lead in the house after again being pronounced dead before the election. They practically wiped out all of the young Democrat talent at the state levels, don't believe me, take a look at the map of the country it is practically all red and then overlay the governors on top of that.
Yes the Republicans are doomed.
This is clearly a play at him trying to gin up the base. The Republicans have control of Congress he knows a Democrat can't do anything drastic.
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2014. They lost the Senate in 2012 (presidential election year), which follows the pattern of Republicans losing whenever voter turnout is high, which means: presidential election years.
Reince has a very good point. The demographics of this country is swinging harder and harder to people who agree with the Democratic party. The republicans had a chance with Jeb and Marco, but Trump/Carson and Cruz are dragging the entire party down with them on immigration and stupidity.
So let's do the rational thing and assume the country is going to elect a Democrat for the white house and a Democratic Senate in 2016. This means Republicans retain control of the House and are forced to either a) reach stalemate or b) compromise with Democrats in order to actually govern (aka do their jobs).
If republicans do A (reach stalemate), the country continues to see how messed up the political system is, driving more moderates towards Dems and driving Radical Republicans further to the right in the insane belief that their current leaders are not Republican enough (as you can see with the Boehner/McCarthy/PaulRyan debacle).
If republicans pick the sane choice B (compromise), the radicals who elected them will send primary challengers to their far right and gin up the tea party to vote sensible/moderate republicans out of office and replace them with people who can't govern and are untested politically, further alienating moderates and independents.
In 4 years time, the advantage that the Republicans got from redrawing district lines (gerrymandering) changes, with the potential for Democrats to win back the House of Representatives on top of keeping the Senate).
TLDR: the Republicans are definitely in a death spiral. You would have to be willfully ignorant not to see that.