Two of Q4’s biggest releases will come from acts in Richard Griffiths’ Modest Management camp: SYCO/Columbia’s One Direction (due 11/13) and Capitol’s 5 Seconds of Summer (10/23). Interestingly, based on preorders, the forecasts for the two albums are remarkably close.
Justin Bieber’s highly anticipated next album has a release date, it seems.
The as-yet-untitled follow-up to 2012’s Believe will be released on Friday, November 13, sources tell Billboard. The rumored release date first popped up earlier on Tuesday (Aug. 11), and Billboard is hearing that Nov. 13 is indeed the target of Bieber’s full-length return.
HDD is predicting 350K for 1D, but their predictions can be much off (they predicted 400K for ARTPOP based on pre-orders which did 259K, and 400K for The 20/20 Experience which did 965K). They also predicted One Direction's 'FOUR' would do 550K, it did 387K.
Believe did 374K first week, but that was 3 years ago.
I feel like Bieber could actually surprise and pull an upset. He could win. Their last major albums opened with 387k (1D, 2014) and 374k (JB, 2012), but 1D's last album was a major slide in opening sales (down from 546k and 540k), while Bieber seems to actually be capable of matching Believe's numbers since he's got basically his biggest lead single right now.
I could see Justin doing like 350k to 400k, while I wouldn't be surprised if 1D does just under 300k or around 330k.
I mean, if What Do You Mean? stays strong for a month or his second single is big, he'll have a decent SPS edge.
I think Justin could actually open pretty big. People are waiting to see what he's got now. Maybe close to 500K?
Its 1D's last album soooo maybe 400K. I think Bieber will win