it won't
i can't see it making more than F&F internationally (the 150m china lead fast has is significant tbh especially as jurassic world had to deal with the china black out)
if it does manage a billion internationally
650m domestically

around 1.6-1.75 worldwide i'd predict

you don't break even just by making the budget back lol
magic mike probably spent around another 30m on promo and marketing (for small budget non indie films that aren't indie the marketing costs are generally higher than the actual budget)
also you only get half the movie gross back

A second consideration is that theaters take a share of the gross. Again, things are complex. The short rule of thumb is that the theaters take half. But the way the contracts actually work, the theaters' cut is on a sliding scale, with the studio taking a much larger percentage in early weeks, and the theaters gradually getting more and more as the run continues. Thus, the attendance pattern of a film makes a big difference. So far, "The Lost World" and "Men in Black" have grossed in the same general ballpark, something like $250 million. However, "The Lost World" made a vast amount of money in its first week, and dropped off quickly, while "Men in Black" did very well its first week, but has held audiences longer. The distributor thusended up with more of the gross from "The Lost World" than from "Men in Black." Assuming you're not a professional or obsessive, live with the 50% estimate.
so magic mike would probably need around 100m to break even

I mean, there's essentially no plot to the movie. Not surprised.

They don't think about that.
Excessive promo, salaries of the big stars and the behind the scenes etc.

That's a huge disappointment (from a sales PoV) @ MM, but not a complete and utter disaster (It's not like it's impossible to make the marketing budget back).. And it most certainly does NOT need to make 100 mil to break even when you factor in theater (which gets less than 50%, thus why food is SO EXPENSIVE. That's where all the money comes from) and marketing

The REAL FLOP is Terminator: Genysis, which did horribly (50 mil on 155 mil + marketing budget for OPENING WEEKEND = doomed)

The only thing not factored into a production budget is the marketing. So, yes, the star salaries were factored in as well

Not Jurassic World already inches away from snatching Avengers Age Of Ultron's weave

YASS LIVING FOR THIS POST.

Hmm, I doubt that either Terminator or Magic Mike will make a very impressive profit in the end. Which is I suppose more surprising for Magic Mike, since the last Terminator lost money.
Daenerys, her lack of power.

Poor Inside Out losing out a 3rd consecutive week, by less than a mil apparently.

It didn't bomb, its audience was spread over 5 days having opened on a Wednesday. It made $26,656,000 during the five day frame on a $14.8mil budget, which is perfectly fine.

It deserves it honestly. Civil War & Infinity Wars will take the crown again tho.
===
And poor Inside Out. It needed just one week. Now it won't get the chance because of Minions & Ant-Man.

inside out slaying

All four films are pure scheiße, but what did we expect from the American box office really lmao

Major movies so far ($50 mil+ domestically) that made at least half of their production budget on opening weekend domestically:

Pitch Perfect 69.2/29=239%
Insidious 22.7/10=227%
Fifty Shades 85/40=213%
Jurassic 209/150=139%
Wedding Ringer 20.6/23=90%
Get Hard 34/40=85%
Taken 39/48=81%
Mall Cop 23.8/30=79%
Furious 147/190=77%
Avengers 191/250=76%
Spongebob 55/74=74%
Cinderella 68/95=72%
Inside Out 90/175=51%

Of course, there's also longevity and such to look at.
For the most extreme examples of total worldwide box offices being totally outsized vs. budgets, Jurassic is at 924%, Pitch Perfect at 959%, Fifty Shades at 1424%.