My points after two rehearsals:
12 - Slovenia
10 - Germany (hasn't rehearsed yet)
8 - Poland
7 - Estonia
6 - Norway
5 - Sweden
4 - Ireland
3 - Russia
2 - Italy (hasn't rehearsed yet)
1 - Australia (hasn't rehearsed yet)
My top3 prediction:
1. Sweden
2. Australia
3. Russia
Favorites who may underperform this year:
Slovenia - forgettable, dark performance
Estonia - forgettable performance
Iceland - tragic vocals, original version sounds much better
Underdogs who may surprise:
Poland - sympathy votes, great message, beautiful visuals + Monika's personality and story