Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
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Radio
Rhythmic (all stations + recurrents): #27, bullet +352
Urban (all stations + recurrents): #17, bullet +255
These bullets may seem small, but they're actually very good considering the size of these formats. As an example, it currently has 1,347 spins on rhythmic. So +352 is a big chance.
Rhythmic and urban radio is looking good, but you have to think that it needs to cross over to pop to gain the AI needed to get to the top 10 (unless it sees high sales or streaming). And frankly, it might be hard to- Mustard hasn't really made a big impression on pop (Show Me and 2 On crossed over to an extent, but Don't Tell 'Em has really been the only big example of this).
iTunes
It's really done well lately. Moving from the 50s and 60s up to #33 today. Looking encouraging for now- a steady rise to around #10-15 at least is necessary for a T10 spot, unless there's big streaming...
Streaming
The wildcard, make-or-break component here. I imagine it will do very well on rhythmic and urban radio because it is a Mustard production (but most of these Mustard-produced rhythmic songs have missed the T10, DTE being an exception), and I really can't see it doing especially well on iTunes, because Mustard songs never do.
So streaming will be the difference, IMO. Spotify is looking good, with consistent increase this week to take it up to #39 (it was off of the 50-position chart a week ago). YT stats show a little less than 1M views per day, which is good because it adds up to ~6M YT streams a week (for comparison, UF! receives 4-5M views per day).
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Looking at the current data, though, I'm going to predict it to just miss the top 10 and have a chart run similar to IDFWU.
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