Quote:
Originally posted by SlayingOnTheEarth
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Oh, if the bookies say it's a no, then who are we to think otherwise?!?!
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When I say the bookies say no, I mean the odds at ALL the bookies show it will be a no outcome. In an event with only 2 possible outcomes, the odds on all the bookies are showing there is EXTREME confidence of a No vote. The odds on a no vote are as low as 1.14 and declining, whereas the odds on a yes vote are out as much as 5.5 and rising. The odds just reflect where the money is going and so everyone is putting money on a No vote.
To put these odds in sporting terms, you would get similar odds of 1.14 for Roger Federer at his peak winning in the First Rd of Wimbledon while playing an unknown player/wildcard. That's as much a certainty as you can get with respect to bookies odds. If the odds decline much further then the bookies will stop taking bets altogether because the outcome is seen as a done deal.
I always find the odds to be a more reliable predictor of election results than any polls, simply because people take a poll/interview they will give an answer of what they want to occur. When people make bets they always place bets on what they think will occur, even if it is not what they want.
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/...rendum-outcome