|
Chart Listings: Billboard Charts (September 10-17, 2014)
Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
|
Quote:
Originally posted by berberocka
Do you have predictions Ger based on Kworb #s...Thanks
|
I haven't been able to make them, but give me an hour
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/7/2008
Posts: 87,284
|
Streaming killing sales tbh!!! Hmm
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 12/7/2008
Posts: 87,284
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
I haven't been able to make them, but give me an hour
|
Patiently waiting and talking our time... [Nelly feat Fergie- Party People quote]
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/1/2014
Posts: 43,331
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:
1. All About That Bass = 44% Sales + 19% Airplay + 37% Streaming
2. Shake It Off = 51% Sales + 24% Airplay + 25% Streaming
3. Anaconda = 30% Sales + 11% Airplay + 59% Streaming
4. Bang Bang = 42% Sales + 19% Airplay + 39% Streaming
5. Black Widow = 36% Sales + 27% Airplay + 37% Streaming
6. Stay With Me = 21% Sales + 49% Airplay + 30% Streaming
7. Rude = 22% Sales + 43% Airplay + 35% Streaming
8. Break Free = 28% Sales + 30% Airplay + 42% Streaming
9. Maps = 29% Sales + 46% Airplay + 25% Streaming
10. Chandelier = 26% Sales + 29% Airplay + 45% Streaming
11. Boom Clap = 22% Sales + 53% Airplay + 25% Streaming
12. Rather Be = 32% Sales + 37% Airplay + 31% Streaming
13. Don't Tell 'Em = 29% Sales + 52% Airplay + 19% Streaming
14. Am I Wrong = 14% Sales + 61% Airplay + 25% Streaming
15. Bailando = 25% Sales + 43% Airplay + 32% Streaming
16. Fancy = 21% Sales + 24% Airplay + 55% Streaming
17. Problem = 22% Sales + 27% Airplay + 51% Streaming
18. Habits (Stay High) = 35% Sales + 22% Airplay + 43% Streaming
19. Hot Boy = 18% Sales + 9% Airplay + 73% Streaming
20. Burnin' It Down = 43% Sales + 28% Airplay + 29% Streaming
So for the Top 20 this week = 29% Sales + 33% Airplay + 38% Streaming
Streaming > Airplay > Sales
|
This is almost a perfect formula.
|
|
|
Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
|
Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
This is almost a perfect formula.
|
Still Airplay weights too much. It's always bigger than sales actually
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/2/2014
Posts: 871
|
All Jeremih needs is a video...top 5 guaranteed...
|
|
|
ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 3/22/2012
Posts: 53,769
|
Nothing with airplay weighted heavily - or even with airplay as a factor - is a good formula.
|
|
|
ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 3/22/2012
Posts: 53,769
|
Quote:
Originally posted by alexanderao
It's more comparable than you think. HS topped iTunes too.
|
Right, because the one time it sold well so people could make more videos is totally equivalent to the sales power Meghan has shown so far.
Right.
|
|
|
Member Since: 1/2/2014
Posts: 1,195
|
Iggy Iggz coming for that #1 Spot
|
|
|
Member Since: 2/16/2010
Posts: 69,775
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:
1. All About That Bass = 44% Sales + 19% Airplay + 37% Streaming
2. Shake It Off = 51% Sales + 24% Airplay + 25% Streaming
3. Anaconda = 30% Sales + 11% Airplay + 59% Streaming
4. Bang Bang = 42% Sales + 19% Airplay + 39% Streaming
5. Black Widow = 36% Sales + 27% Airplay + 37% Streaming
6. Stay With Me = 21% Sales + 49% Airplay + 30% Streaming
7. Rude = 22% Sales + 43% Airplay + 35% Streaming
8. Break Free = 28% Sales + 30% Airplay + 42% Streaming
9. Maps = 29% Sales + 46% Airplay + 25% Streaming
10. Chandelier = 26% Sales + 29% Airplay + 45% Streaming
11. Boom Clap = 22% Sales + 53% Airplay + 25% Streaming
12. Rather Be = 32% Sales + 37% Airplay + 31% Streaming
13. Don't Tell 'Em = 29% Sales + 52% Airplay + 19% Streaming
14. Am I Wrong = 14% Sales + 61% Airplay + 25% Streaming
15. Bailando = 25% Sales + 43% Airplay + 32% Streaming
16. Fancy = 21% Sales + 24% Airplay + 55% Streaming
17. Problem = 22% Sales + 27% Airplay + 51% Streaming
18. Habits (Stay High) = 35% Sales + 22% Airplay + 43% Streaming
19. Hot Boy = 18% Sales + 9% Airplay + 73% Streaming
20. Burnin' It Down = 43% Sales + 28% Airplay + 29% Streaming
So for the Top 20 this week = 29% Sales + 33% Airplay + 38% Streaming
Streaming > Airplay > Sales
|
|
|
|
Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
|
Early Predictions:
1. All About That Bass = (22-26% of lead)
2. Shake It Off =
3. Anaconda =
4. Black Widow +1
5. Bang Bang -1
6. Stay With Me =
7. Break Free +1
8. Rude -1
9. Maps =
10. Chandelier =
11. Boom Clap =
12. Don't Tell 'Em +1
13. Rather Be -1
14. Bailando +1
15. Am I Wrong -1
16. Fancy =
17. Problem =
18. Hot Ni*ga +1
19. Burnin' It Down +1
20. Habits (Stay High) -2
Seriously @ the moves
|
|
|
Member Since: 7/4/2007
Posts: 24,859
|
Quote:
Originally posted by MusicTalker
|
Songs that have the correct order in weight:
Shake it Off (51% sales)
Bass
Bang
Burnin'
Change your formula so more songs are like that, BB.
|
|
|
Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
|
Quote:
Originally posted by fridayteenage
Songs that have the correct order in weight:
Shake it Off (51% sales)
Bass
Bang
Burnin'
Change your formula so more songs are like that, BB.
|
It's such a shame songs like "Burnin' It Down" doesn't go higher
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
|
Quote:
Originally posted by fridayteenage
Songs that have the correct order in weight:
Shake it Off (51% sales)
Bass
Bang
Burnin'
Change your formula so more songs are like that, BB.
|
I agree. Sales should average at least 40% of the Hot 100's point formula, and only four songs in this week's Top 20 are at 40%*+.
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
|
Personally, I think digital downloads, and whatever sales are still received from ringtones, ringbacks, and physical singles (I know these last three components are very small) should altogether add up to 50% of the Hot 100's formula. But we've already had the discussion about how I would run the Hot 100 if I was in charge, so I will stop here.
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
It's such a shame songs like "Burnin' It Down" doesn't go higher
|
Ger-55 there is still hope for "Burnin' It Down". Either the CMAs or ACMs are coming up, so there is hope for acts like Jason Aldean, Florida-Georgia Line, Luke Bryan, Lady Antebellum. Carrie Underwood, Blake Shelton, Miranda Lambert, and other superstar Country acts who have already scored Top Ten hits or near misses on the Hot 100 to get another chance before the 2014 Chart Year ends.
One note for thought: Luke Bryan is on his fifth Top Five hit off of his CD, and the album is still going strong (in the Top Three on Billboard Country Albums, Number one just last week) . I wonder if his label will go for a sixth hit and keep it going, or wait and debut a new song from a new release at the Country Awards?
|
|
|
ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 4/5/2014
Posts: 5,828
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
Bubbling Under Hot 100
1 4 4 8 #1 1 wk Angel In Blue Jeans, Train 1
2 8 2 7 Bend Ova, Lil Jon Featuring Tyga 2
3 0 New 1 La La Latch, Pentatonix 3
4 0 New 1 People Loving People, Garth Brooks 4
5 6 6 10 All Alright, Zac Brown Band 5
6 20 20 3 Feelin' It, Scotty McCreery 6
7 25 23 4 Close Your Eyes, Parmalee 7
8 0 New 1 Ass Drop, Wiz Khalifa 8
9 23 16 3 You And Your Friends, Wiz Khalifa Featuring Snoop Dogg & Ty Dolla $ign 9
10 18 10 8 Eres Mia, Romeo Santos 3
11 14 12 13 2AM., Adrian Marcel Featuring Sage The Gemini 4
12 22 15 9 Dangerous, Big Data Featuring Joywave 12
13 15 7 4 Promises, Wiz Khalifa 7
14 0 New 1 Handsome And Wealthy, Migos 14
15 0 Re-Entry 4 Payback, Rascal Flatts 15
16 0 New 1 Rich, Kirko Bangz Featuring August Alsina 16
17 0 New 1 Superheroes, The Script 17
18 0 New 1 Greater, MercyMe 18
19 17 8 3 KK, Wiz Khalifa Feautring Project Pat & Juicy J 8
20 19 19 10 Latch (Acoustic), Sam Smith 10
21 0 New 1 Believer, American Authors 21
22 0 Re-Entry 2 My Sweet Summer, The Dirty Heads 22
23 0 Re-Entry 12 Monster, Skillet 1
24 0 Re-Entry 5 I Mean It, G-Eazy Featuring Remo 18
25 0 New 1 Left Hand Free, alt-J 25
|
Here
Here is one note of interest about this week's Bubbling Under Chart, since GER 55 posted it for us (thank you). I did not get a chance to share out these links myself yesterday, but Skillet's "Monster", ranked # 23 on Bubbling Under, is actually certified platinum. This is very rare for a song originating from either the Active Rock and/or the Christian formats. The song was released back in 2009 or 2010, so it has been out a few years, but Billboard never moved it to the Recurrent Songs Chart.
I will try to help with the Rock and Country Format Charts tomorrow.
|
|
|
Member Since: 9/9/2012
Posts: 59,872
|
Quote:
Originally posted by brianc33616
I will try to help with the Rock and Country Format Charts tomorrow.
|
Hot Rock Songs
1 1 15 Habits (Stay High) - Tove Lo - Island | Republic
2 2 19 A Sky Full Of Stars - Coldplay - Parlophone | Atlantic
3 3 69 Pompeii - Bastille - Virgin | Capitol
4 6 29 Riptide - Vance Joy - L!beration/F-Stop | Atlantic
5 5 33 Ain't It Fun - Paramore - Fueled By Ramen | RRP
6 7 51 Best Day Of My Life - American Authors - Dirty Canvas/Island | Republic
7 4 32 Come With Me Now - KONGOS - Tokoloshe | Epic
8 8 14 Stolen Dance - Milky Chance - Lichtdicht | Republic
9 9 19 Take Me To Church - Hozier - Rubyworks | Columbia
10 10 52 Team - Lorde - Lava | Republic
11 11 17 Dangerous - Big Data Featuring Joywave - Crush Music/Wilcassettes | Warner Bros.
12 13 12 Believer - American Authors - Dirty Canvas/Island | Republic
13 14 15 My Sweet Summer - Dirty Heads - Five Seven
14 15 9 Left Hand Free - alt-J - Infectious/Canvasback | Atlantic
15 12 26 I Wanna Get Better - Bleachers - RCA
16 19 14 Multiplied - NEEDTOBREATHE - Atlantic/Atlantic | Word-Curb
17 16 24 Fever - The Black Keys - Nonesuch | Warner Bros.
18 New 1 Jackie And Wilson - Hozier - Rubyworks | Columbia
19 23 6 Girls - The 1975 - Dirty Hit/Vagrant | Interscope
20 22 7 Back To The Shack - Weezer - Republic
21 21 24 Peace - O.A.R. - Vanguard
22 20 18 Words As Weapons - Seether - The Bicycle Music Company | CMG
23 25 16 Jungle - Jamie N Commons & X Ambassadors - KIDinaKORNER | Interscope
24 24 13 I Don't Want To Be Here Anymore - Rise Against - Interscope
25 17 2 The Devil In I - Slipknot - Roadrunner | RRP
26 29 6 Flaws - Bastille - Virgin | Capitol
27 New 1 Wasted Time - Vance Joy - L!beration/F-Stop | Atlantic
28 New 1 Tired Of Giving Up - Ryan Adams - PAX.AM/Blue Note | Capitol
29 26 5 Wrong Side Of Heaven - Five Finger Death Punch - Prospect Park
30 27 19 Cardiac Arrest - Bad Suns - Vagrant
31 30 5 Budapest - George Ezra - Columbia
32 28 3 Edge Of A Revolution - Nickelback - Republic
33 34 4 Every Other Freckle - alt-J - Infectious/Canvasback | Atlantic
34 31 11 Ballast - Nothing More - Eleven Seven
35 38 3 Gotta Get Away - The Black Keys - Nonesuch | Warner Bros.
36 40 4 I'm Only Joking - KONGOS - Tokoloshe | Epic
37 33 4 Beware The Dog - The Griswolds - Wind-up
38 37 8 My Demons - Starset - Razor & Tie
39 35 17 Until It's Gone - Linkin Park - Machine Shop | Warner Bros.
40 Re-Entry 3 Like Real People Do - Hozier - Rubyworks | Columbia
41 41 9 Hunger Of The Pine - alt-J - Infectious/Canvasback | Atlantic
42 36 16 All I Want - Kodaline - B-Unique | RCA
43 32 13 1000hp - Godsmack - Republic
44 44 4 Mess Is Mine - Vance Joy - L!beration/F-Stop | Atlantic
45 Re-Entry 3 Arrows - Fences Featuring Macklemore & Ryan Lewis - Elektra | Atlantic
46 48 2 Work Song - Hozier - Rubyworks | Columbia
47 43 17 This Means War - Avenged Sevenfold - Warner Bros.
48 Re-Entry 4 Mind Over Matter - Young The Giant - Fueled By Ramen | RRP
49 50 3 From Eden - Hozier - Rubyworks | Columbia
50 Re-Entry 18 Car Radio - Twenty One Pilots - Fueled By Ramen | RRP
Hot Country Songs
1 1 8 Burnin' It Down - Jason Aldean - Broken Bow
2 2 10 Dirt - Florida Georgia Line - Republic Nashville
3 3 12 American Kids - Kenny Chesney - Blue Chair | Columbia Nashville
4 4 16 Bartender - Lady Antebellum - Capitol Nashville
5 7 13 Roller Coaster - Luke Bryan - Capitol Nashville
6 8 22 Where It's At (Yep, Yep) - Dustin Lynch - Broken Bow
7 6 12 Leave The Night On - Sam Hunt - MCA Nashville
8 9 34 Hope You Get Lonely Tonight - Cole Swindell - Warner Bros. | WMN
9 5 20 Drunk On A Plane - Dierks Bentley - Capitol Nashville
10 11 16 Somethin' Bad - Miranda Lambert Duet With Carrie Underwood - 19/19 | Arista Nashville/RCA Nashville
11 10 22 Meanwhile Back At Mama's - Tim McGraw Featuring Faith Hill - Big Machine
12 12 40 Ready Set Roll - Chase Rice - Dack Janiels | Columbia Nashville
13 17 4 Neon Light - Blake Shelton - Warner Bros. | WMN
14 14 19 Sunshine & Whiskey - Frankie Ballard - Warner Bros. | WAR
15 13 18 Small Town Throwdown - Brantley Gilbert Featuring Justin Moore & Thomas Rhett - Valory
16 16 8 Girl In A Country Song - Maddie & Tae - Dot
17 New 1 Sweet Little Somethin' - Jason Aldean - Broken Bow
18 18 14 Day Drinking - Little Big Town - Capitol Nashville
19 19 31 Dust - Eli Young Band - Republic Nashville
20 21 9 Somewhere In My Car - Keith Urban - Hit Red | Capitol Nashville
21 22 26 Later On - The Swon Brothers - Arista Nashville
22 20 15 Cold One - Eric Church - EMI Nashville
23 15 23 River Bank - Brad Paisley - Arista Nashville
24 23 26 Look At You - Big & Rich - B$R | New Revolution
25 New 1 People Loving People - Garth Brooks - Pearl | RCA Nashville
26 24 17 All Alright - Zac Brown Band - Southern Ground
27 26 15 Feelin' It - Scotty McCreery - 19/Interscope | Mercury
28 27 20 Close Your Eyes - Parmalee - Stoney Creek
29 28 11 Payback - Rascal Flatts - Big Machine
30 30 10 Home Sweet Home - Justin Moore Featuring Vince Neil - Valory
31 29 18 Show You Off - Dan + Shay - Warner Bros. | WAR
32 New 1 Overrated - Tim McGraw - Big Machine
33 41 2 Mean To Me - Brett Eldredge - Atlantic | WMN
34 34 18 Kiss You Tonight - David Nail - MCA Nashville
35 32 10 God Made Girls - RaeLynn - Valory
36 25 2 Homegrown Honey - Darius Rucker - Capitol Nashville
37 37 4 Take It On Back - Chase Bryant - Red Bow
38 36 13 Like A Cowboy - Randy Houser - Stoney Creek
39 40 4 What We Ain't Got - Jake Owen - RCA Nashville
40 31 10 Tattoo - Hunter Hayes - Atlantic | WMN
41 35 15 Rum - Brothers Osborne - EMI Nashville
42 33 4 Break Up In A Small Town - Sam Hunt - MCA Nashville
43 New 1 Good Man - Lee Brice - Curb
44 38 16 Night That You'll Never Forget - Love And Theft - RCA Nashville
45 42 3 Perfect Storm - Brad Paisley - Arista Nashville
46 Re-Entry 2 Drinking Class - Lee Brice - Curb
47 44 15 Love - Jana Kramer - Elektra Nashville | WAR
48 48 2 Make Me Wanna - Thomas Rhett - Valory
49 46 4 Ex To See - Sam Hunt - MCA Nashville
50 45 4 House Party - Sam Hunt - MCA Nashville
|
|
|
Member Since: 11/10/2011
Posts: 14,820
|
Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:
1. All About That Bass = 44% Sales + 19% Airplay + 37% Streaming
2. Shake It Off = 51% Sales + 24% Airplay + 25% Streaming
3. Anaconda = 30% Sales + 11% Airplay + 59% Streaming
4. Bang Bang = 42% Sales + 19% Airplay + 39% Streaming
5. Black Widow = 36% Sales + 27% Airplay + 37% Streaming
6. Stay With Me = 21% Sales + 49% Airplay + 30% Streaming
7. Rude = 22% Sales + 43% Airplay + 35% Streaming
8. Break Free = 28% Sales + 30% Airplay + 42% Streaming
9. Maps = 29% Sales + 46% Airplay + 25% Streaming
10. Chandelier = 26% Sales + 29% Airplay + 45% Streaming
11. Boom Clap = 22% Sales + 53% Airplay + 25% Streaming
12. Rather Be = 32% Sales + 37% Airplay + 31% Streaming
13. Don't Tell 'Em = 29% Sales + 52% Airplay + 19% Streaming
14. Am I Wrong = 14% Sales + 61% Airplay + 25% Streaming
15. Bailando = 25% Sales + 43% Airplay + 32% Streaming
16. Fancy = 21% Sales + 24% Airplay + 55% Streaming
17. Problem = 22% Sales + 27% Airplay + 51% Streaming
18. Habits (Stay High) = 35% Sales + 22% Airplay + 43% Streaming
19. Hot Boy = 18% Sales + 9% Airplay + 73% Streaming
20. Burnin' It Down = 43% Sales + 28% Airplay + 29% Streaming
So for the Top 20 this week = 29% Sales + 33% Airplay + 38% Streaming
Streaming > Airplay > Sales
|
Thanks for this.
So the most sales driven hit is Shake It Off, the most airplay driven is Am I Wrong (I think we all knew that though) and the most streaming driven is Hot Boy (again, pretty obvious).
Don't Tell 'Em is doing worst in streaming out of all of them. It really needs a music video imo. I don't understand why it's been so long.
Hot Boy is doing worst in airplay, although realistically I can only think of 2 radio formats that will play it. Pop will probably only start playing it if it becomes a top 5 hit or something (which I doubt)
|
|
|
Member Since: 9/3/2006
Posts: 27,884
|
Full album sales, please?
|
|
|
|
|