Break Free

Glad that Maps won't hit top 5, I can't stand that song.
But too bad Stay With Me might not hit #1 Hope the VMA's can give it a push

Is he performing on VMA? how about Rude?

3way battle for #1?
These are just estimates

Meghan
Sales - 245,000
Radio AI - 56 AI
Vevor - 4,200,000
Spotify - 2,321,000

Rude
Sales -105,000
Radio - 205 AI
Vevo- 3,131,000
Spotify - 2,400,000

Stay With Me
Sales 94,000
Radio - 221 AI
Spotify - 2, 684,000
Vevo - 2,011,000


I don't have figures for non-vevo streaming.

With that it'll be:

1. Magic
2. Sam
3. Meghan

Poor Sam..

Really hoping Meghan makes it; she seems to have a good shot but her AI is comparatively low.

It seems so Although Boom Clap is not that far from Top 10. It all depends on Bang Bang's sales and Streaming

Using Kworb's estimate.

Meghan vs Rude/SWM

Meghan trails SWM in airplay by 165 million AI
Meghan leads SWM in sales by 140,000 plus
Meghan leads SWM in streaming by 2 million plus

Meghan trails Rude by 149 AI in Airplay
Meghan leads Rude in sales by 140,000 in sales
Meghan leads Rude in streaming by over a million

Keep in mind Rude has been higher than AATB (as has SWM) for the whole week on Spotify until 2 days ago.

So it really just is that massive AI gap that she should worry about

it'll be a close one
Radio Airplay: Last week, SWM led Rude by 7 points, this SWM increased the lead by 16 points

Kworb Sales estimate: SWM 94,000 vs 105,000 for Rude

Spotify - Last week, SWM led Rude by 313,134. This week, SWM's lead is down to 283,208

Vevo - Last week, Rude led SWM by 1,352,260. This week, Rude lead is down to 1,119,356.

Non-vevo numbers from youtube?

is Taylor's new single on spotify yet?

Nope

Shouldn't hurt her too much. 7m+ global views in a day for the vid is very promising for US based streams this week.

I say 6M streams in the first week, which is simply awesome

So for next week Taylor stats

Sales - 400k?
radio - 60 AI?
Vevo - 8 million?
Spotify - Zero?

Sales: 500-600k
Radio: 60-80 AI
Vevo: 10m+

so they have no plans on adding the song on spotify?

I'd predict 500-550k sales, 60m AI or so, and 9 million Vevo/YT streams from the US.

Now why quote only me, boo? When there was an 80m prediction literally right above me?

Anyways, yeah, I don't find that incredibly unreasonable for this type of front-loaded release. I could lower it given that WANEGBT had 52 million AI in the week it went #1, but either way, it's going to rise quickly.