Well, I think they underestimate Katy's sales, I don't see how she couldn't debut with 500k+ when she is doing way better than PoM and when Robin is at 0.42 (worse in the beginning of the week).
I don't believe this tbh. Lets wait and see till Sunday. There's no way Gaga is doing that low.
I agree as well but given her last era it's no surprise that the US is her tough shell to crack amongst most other countries. All I hope for at this point is that a low debut signals possible longevity, which is always nice for a Gaga single.
Since tracking of the sales ends on the 21st, it'll be super interesting to see if a quick day of airplay (Gaga has a radio deal starting the 20th) will alter her sales. I wouldn't expect it by much, though.