The sales will range somewhere between 175k-190k, plus AI which will be about 17-20. That'll put her points only between 192-210. Which should put her somewhere between 2 and 5.
Add to that, Circus is having a bad lead on iTunes over SL even tho SL is selling 25k - 34k range per day
Actually, a lot of people still like the type of music "Run" is, but it's not going to do well for the simple fact "I Will Be" is the next US single. (Yeah, figure that one out.)
BILLBOARD HOT DIGITAL SONGS - TOP 50
1 1 SPEARS*BRITNEY CIRCUS 153219 -28 211831 365050
2 2 BEYONCE SINGLE LADIES (PUT A RING ON I 136003 -12 153704 721843
3 3 LADY GAGA FEAT. COLBY O'DONIS JUST DANCE 122918 -3 127049 1179661
9 4 WEST*KANYE HEARTLESS 102278 24 82584 634091
4 5 T.I. FEAT. RIHANNA LIVE YOUR LIFE 100716 -6 106892 1948137
5 6 WEST*KANYE LOVE LOCKDOWN 94435 -4 98100 1463744
11 7 SPEARS*BRITNEY WOMANIZER 87466 14 76723 1420612
8 8 SWIFT*TAYLOR LOVE STORY 85967 0 85586 1338084
10 9 PERRY*KATY HOT N COLD 81328 0 81129 2043816
6 10 BEYONCE IF I WERE A BOY 80302 -15 94595 1134745
13 11 RUDOLF*KEVIN FEAT. LIL WAYNE LET IT ROCK 76767 8 71054 1590589
14 12 AKON RIGHT NOW (NA NA NA) 66409 -3 68326 1067398
15 13 MRAZ*JASON I'M YOURS 65886 0 65874 2362549
7 14 AKON FEAT. COLBY O'DONIS & KAR BEAUTIFUL 63148 -31 91674 154822
16 15 T.I. WHATEVER YOU LIKE 62748 -1 63603 2379926
17 16 CAREY*MARIAH ALL I WANT FOR CHRISTMAS IS YO 59811 9 54667 1115256
19 17 NICKELBACK GOTTA BE SOMEBODY 50198 -3 51707 791440
18 18 P!NK SO WHAT 49499 -8 54040 2324367
20 19 RIHANNA REHAB 48462 2 47636 340660
24 20 ALL-AMERICAN REJECTS GIVES YOU HELL 41819 12 37301 266363
58 21 T-PAIN FEATURING LIL WAYNE CAN'T BELIEVE IT 40325 104 19793 971810
21 22 AKON FEAT. LIL WAYNE I'M SO PAID 39798 -3 41150 264259
23 23 BROWN*ZAC BAND CHICKEN FRIED 39051 0 39155 500703
12 24 FRAY*THE YOU FOUND ME 38922 -46 71602 317249
22 25 RIHANNA DISTURBIA 37352 -6 39804 2559632
61 26 BRANDY RIGHT HERE (DEPARTED) 35524 86 19138 237238
28 27 SAVING ABEL ADDICTED 34408 3 33559 925447
27 28 NE-YO MISS INDEPENDENT 33813 0 33875 677073
25 29 KILLERS*THE HUMAN 33298 -9 36674 363284
26 30 PARAMORE DECODE 32068 -9 35339 263077
38 31 VERONICAS*THE UNTOUCHED 31938 18 27068 273210
35 32 LUDACRIS CO-STARRING T-PAIN ONE MORE DRINK 29692 5 28380 146581
33 33 COLDPLAY VIVA LA VIDA 29555 -5 31222 2769947
37 34 LIL WAYNE FEAT. BOBBY VALENTIN MRS. OFFICER 29330 4 28076 591320
36 35 TRANS-SIBERIAN ORCHESTRA CHRISTMAS EVE/SARAJEVO 12/24 29103 4 28028 453986
31 36 SWIFT*TAYLOR WHITE HORSE 28580 -10 31687 265684
32 37 ARCHULETA*DAVID CRUSH 27816 -12 31511 1145510
43 38 P!NK SOBER 27312 15 23673 130078
34 39 O.A.R. SHATTERED (TURN THE CAR AROUND 26858 -9 29432 599999
49 40 JONES*JIM & RON BROWZ FEAT. JU POP CHAMPAGNE 26755 23 21739 146117
40 41 M.I.A. PAPER PLANES 24909 -1 25223 2167390
87 42 COMMON UNIVERSAL MIND CONTROL 23578 65 14331 101599
55 43 PUSSYCAT DOLLS*THE I HATE THIS PART 23486 17 20062 112080
50 44 FALL OUT BOY I DON'T CARE 23284 9 21323 386676
45 45 TRANS-SIBERIAN ORCHESTRA CHRISTMAS CANON 22796 1 22569 355559
41 46 SAVAGE FEAT. SOULJA BOY TELL'E SWING 22736 -7 24413 905237
72 47 ROSSDALE*GAVIN LOVE REMAINS THE SAME 22188 34 16507 855913
60 48 COOK*DAVID LIGHT ON 21290 11 19262 319505
51 49 LEGEND*JOHN FEAT. ANDRE 3000 GREEN LIGHT 21231 0 21164 432659
42 50 AGUILERA*CHRISTINA KEEPS GETTIN' BETTER 20925 -12 23738 607069
A FEW BONUSES:
126 65 METRO STATION SEVENTEEN FOREVER 17979 81 9960 152502
106 83 COSGROVE*MIRANDA ABOUT YOU NOW 14144 19 11923 43168
169 112 T.I. FEAT. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE DEAD AND GONE 10730 33 8056 118694
-- 129 MAROON 5 FEAT. RIHANNA IF I NEVER SEE YOUR FACE AGAIN 9394 85 5081 695281
-- 132 AGUILERA*CHRISTINA DYNAMITE 9320 999 790 10110
-- 133 NE-YO MAD 9296 51 6148 54343
-- 171 ALLEN*LILY FEAR 7880 999 0 7880
-- 194 USHER TRADING PLACES 7074 45 4879 73959
-- 198 BEYONCE DIVA 7001 22 5724 31989
Here's how Hot 100 Airplay ended up before recurrents were removed:
No. 1 - T.I. / Rihanna (-9.4 million)
No. 2 - Beyonce (+12.2 million) Single Ladies
No. 3 - T.I. (-19.5 million)
No. 4 - Ne-Yo (-15.7 million)
No. 5 - Katy Perry (-3.7 million)
No. 6 - Beyonce (-4.4 million) If I Were A Boy
No. 7 - Jason Mraz (-5.0 million)
No. 8 - Britney Spears (+5.8 million)
No. 9 - Lady Gaga (+7.4 million)
No. 11 - Akon (-1.1 million)
No. 12 - Taylor Swift (+5.3 million)
No. 13 - Kanye West (+15.8 million) Heartless
No. 14 - Kevin Rudolf (+1.4 million)
No. 23 - Nickelback (-0.6 million)
No. 36 - Usher (-0.8 million) Trading Places
No. 50 - Rihanna / Justin Timberlake (+1.8 million)
No. 56 - Keyshia Cole (-1.0 million)
No. 75 - Ne-Yo / Jamie Foxx (+5.7 million)
No. 79 - The Fray (+5.7 million)
No. 81 - Britney Spears (+7.5 million) Circus
No. 82 - David Cook (+2.9 million)
No. 86 - Ne-Yo (+4.4 million) Mad
No. 111 - Brandy (-3.7 million) Right Here
No. 122 - Pink (+4.6 million)
No. 128 - Pussycat Dolls (+2.5 million)
No. 148 - Veronicas (+1.6 million)
No. 180 - Beyonce (+3.8 million) Diva
No. 346- Brandy (-0.9 million) Long Distance
Majority of songs are impacted by Christmas in terms of audience while songs charting below 20 are impacted in terms of position (considerably lower you go on chart). Mariah has Top Christmas song at 20 followed by Brenda Lee at 27.
On R&B airplay, Beyonce is 1 (Singles Ladies), T.I./Rihanna 2, Usher 5 (Trading Places), Keyshia 11, Ne-Yo/Jamie Fox 16, Beyonce 17 (If I Were A Boy), Kanye 22 (Heartless), Usher 24 (Here I Stand), Ne-Yo 30 (Mad), Beyonce 33 (Diva) and Brandy 51 (Long Distance).
And Streaming:
No. 1 Katy Perry - Hot N Cold
No. 2 Taylor Swift - Love Story
No. 3 Beyonce - If I Were A Boy
No. 4 Britney Spears - Womanizer
No. 5 Beyonce - Single Ladies
No. 6 Pink - So What
No. 7 Jason Mraz - I'm Yours
No. 8 T.I. / Rihanna - Live Your Life
No. 9 Jose Feliciano - Feliz Navidad
No. 10 Leona Lewis - Better In Time
No. 11 Lady Gaga - Just Dance
No. 20 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You