I took a long time writing this so I refuse to let it go to waste LOL. By the time I was ready to post this the thread was taken down. I hopefully can't get in trouble for this as it technically has to do with Stronger: (From the Avril VS. Kelly thread)
IMO,
Stronger will outsell Goodbye Lullaby and Mr. Know It All will do better than What The Hell.
In the U.S it is almost a guarantee that Kelly will win both...MKIA will peak at #1 while WTH peaked at #11. Stronger will last longer than GL on the album chart as well...
Kelly had flaws during My December and All I Ever Wanted...
With My December, Kelly didn't have any label support and Never Again was nearly rejected from radio by its 2nd week. The label itself was telling the public it was bad by always talking trash on it in interviews and such.(Clive Davis anyone?) Sober wasn't just nearly rejected but
was rejected by radio
With AIEW, MLWSWY wasn't the huge hit that everyone makes it out to be. While it spent 2 weeks at #1 on the Hot 100 it only spent a total of 18 weeks on the chart...(Less than WTH with 20) MLWSWY had no staying power on any charts. Next, I Do Not Hook Up basically killed the potential of the album. It just barely made the top 20 on the Hot 100(Peaked at #20) and stayed on the charts for only 18 weeks and did even worse(flopped) in other countries. Already Gone was a hit in America and had a lot of staying power being on the chart for just over 30 weeks and peaking at #13. While it did some damage control from IDNHU's fail it couldn't revive the album too much...it did alright in other countries but its success was limited...mainly due to the Halo comparisons. All I Ever Wanted(Single) wasn't promoted and flopped everywhere.
With Stronger, I expect good single choices and good promotion and an overall amazing album. Kelly and the label are on the same page for once and I think they have a lot of good songs to choose from for singles. IMO, the most important thing for an album is the correct single choices. Without successful singles the album won't have staying power even despite being a decent album. Stronger will be Kelly's comeback album IMO because they will have consistently good singles to keep momentum going. MKIA is an amazing lead single and start to Kelly's comeback
GL is going to be Avril's least successful album yet and I don't expect sales to pick up. I have heard from numerous people that What The Hell was annoying and just bad...kind of like I Do Not Hook Up for AIEW. If a song is catchy to people it is a good thing...if its annoyingly catchy like IDNHU or WTH it won't do much for the album. Smile was a big flop almost everywhere and got rejected by radio. Once a song gets rejected by radio it is very hard to get the album back on track. Wish You Were Here will face trouble due to Smile's failure. Sadly, even though its a great song, WYWH will probably struggle to get in the Top 40 on the Hot 100.
Overall, Stronger has everything going for it to be successful while Goodbye Lullaby has nearly everything going against it. Stronger will be Kelly's biggest success since Breakaway while GL will be Avril's worst charting album. Both are great artists but I don't see GL even having a chance to outperform Stronger in the U.S or Worldwide