Bernie needs 67.5% of the remaining delegates to get ahead in the pledged count.
Polling averages right now indicate a likely 8+ point win for Hillary in California and an 18-point win in New Jersey. If she got those it would be over no matter the results in the rest of the states, even if he shuts her out in all of them.
Actually, a 54-46 win for her in Cali would be insurmountable if he got 100% in all the other states.
