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Chart Listings: Billboard Hot 100 Singles (February 29-March 7, 2012)
Member Since: 2/14/2012
Posts: 1,425
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Quote:
Originally posted by DejaVu
Wow, you're really perceptive.
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so are you...
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Member Since: 9/12/2009
Posts: 3,300
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Is STIUTK going top 10 next week?
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Member Since: 2/15/2012
Posts: 15,569
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So I guess it's pretty much a definite that Kelly is staying at number one again?
I guess WAY might go to number 2... Maybe... With all this American Idol fanservice though, Adele might have been pushed high enough to hold on a bit longer.
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Member Since: 12/28/2011
Posts: 13,440
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Quote:
Originally posted by ClashAndBurn
So I guess it's pretty much a definite that Kelly is staying at number one again?
I guess WAY might go to number 2... Maybe... With all this American Idol fanservice though, Adele might have been pushed high enough to hold on a bit longer.
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It's not at all a definite yet.. WAY has a huge sales lead and it's looking like it will overtake #1 from Kelly. They could outsell her by more than 100k which gives them #1. It should be close.
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Member Since: 2/15/2012
Posts: 15,569
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Quote:
Originally posted by MJ0497
It's not at all a definite yet.. WAY has a huge sales lead and it's looking like it will overtake #1 from Kelly. They could outsell her by more than 100k which gives them #1. It should be close.
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Meh... I just don't see it happening just yet. Top 40 is always slow to rally behind Alternative Songs, when they have a huge collection of safer pop hits to choose from. Stronger, SFTTR, and WFL come on at least twenty times a day where I'm from, whereas I haven't heard WAY even once.
I just don't know that the song's digital backing will line up with AI for it to even go to number one at all. I hope it does, but radio is kicking and screaming and fighting it way too much for it to happen right now, to be honest...
And I don't see there being a 100K sales gap between WAY and Stronger either. I could be wrong, though, but...
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Member Since: 10/27/2010
Posts: 3,113
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Quote:
Originally posted by ClashAndBurn
She hasn't promoted anything else. I mean... What the heck is she doing?
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Birthday cake featuring chris brown. isn't that the promotion that it's promoting itsef?
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Member Since: 9/26/2011
Posts: 3,765
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Quote:
Originally posted by ClashAndBurn
Meh... I just don't see it happening just yet. Top 40 is always slow to rally behind Alternative Songs, when they have a huge collection of safer pop hits to choose from. Stronger, SFTTR, and WFL come on at least twenty times a day where I'm from, whereas I haven't heard WAY even once.
I just don't know that the song's digital backing will line up with AI for it to even go to number one at all. I hope it does, but radio is kicking and screaming and fighting it way too much for it to happen right now, to be honest...
And I don't see there being a 100K sales gap between WAY and Stronger either. I could be wrong, though, but...
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But WAY is speeding up on radio while Kelly is near peaking, also Nielsen AI is different form Mediabase. SFTTR on Nielsen have 10+M AI less than on Mediabase.
Anyway I think it will be really close fight this week for #1.
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Member Since: 1/27/2012
Posts: 15,057
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Fun will be #1. Their sales are huge.
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Member Since: 6/1/2010
Posts: 65,177
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Kelly's AI was behind on BDS by 10M AI last week. That is something to consider.
And WAY is exploding on radio right now. I suspect it will surpass PUK's radio success.
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Member Since: 2/15/2012
Posts: 15,569
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ulrihs
But WAY is speeding up on radio while Kelly is near peaking, also Nielsen AI is different form Mediabase. SFTTR on Nielsen have 10+M AI less than on Mediabase.
Anyway I think it will be really close fight this week for #1.
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Kelly also has the weekend countdowns on her side, which I think will keep her relatively stable for the most part. Plus, she has two versions in the Top 100 of iTunes, right now as well. I'm not entirely sure, but I think her chances are higher for now. Maybe next week, when WAY's AI catches up a little bit... And I think Stronger might see some decreases too, for that matter.
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Member Since: 12/15/2008
Posts: 38,248
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We Are Young is clearly the breakthrough act of this year.. Maybe it will become the RITD of 2012, that huge!
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Member Since: 9/26/2011
Posts: 3,765
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Difference between Nielsen BDS TOP 40(Pop) (left) and Mediabase TOP 40 (right) numbers. For date 29.02.2012.
TW | Spins | Bullet | AI | AI rank | Artist - Title | TW | Spins | Bullet | AI | - | AI diff | Spins diff | 1 | 12536 | 318 | 78,274 | 1 | ADELE Set Fire To The Rain | 1 | 13928 | 281 | 91,812 | - | -13,538 | -1392 | 2 | 10727 | 534 | 59,111 | 4 | JESSIE J Domino | 3 | 12024 | 302 | 67,403 | - | -8,292 | -1297 | 3 | 10405 | 1608 | 66,83 | 2 | KELLY CLARKSON Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You) | 2 | 12162 | 1999 | 81,377 | - | -14,547 | -1757 | 4 | 9996 | -777 | 60,109 | 3 | FLO RIDA Good Feeling | 5 | 10489 | -1325 | 68,546 | - | -8,437 | -493 | 5 | 9392 | 393 | 53,542 | 6 | DAVID GUETTA FEAT. NICKI MINAJ Turn Me On | 4 | 10987 | 423 | 64,112 | - | -10,57 | -1595 | 6 | 8102 | -450 | 57,009 | 5 | RIHANNA FEAT. CALVIN HARRIS We Found Love | 7 | 8989 | -513 | 67,171 | - | -10,162 | -887 | 7 | 8020 | 516 | 45,741 | 8 | PITBULL FEAT. CHRIS BROWN International Love | 6 | 9110 | 442 | 56,19 | - | -10,449 | -1090 | 8 | 7313 | 721 | 46,279 | 7 | GYM CLASS HEROES FEAT. NEON HITCH Ass Back Home | 8 | 8303 | 689 | 54,911 | - | -8,632 | -990 | 9 | 6484 | -57 | 32,994 | 12 | GAVIN DEGRAW Not Over You | 10 | 6756 | -265 | 35,637 | - | -2,643 | -272 | 10 | 6311 | 812 | 35,664 | 9 | WANTED Glad You Came | 9 | 7439 | 869 | 44,04 | - | -8,376 | -1128 | 11 | 6185 | -789 | 35,388 | 10 | BRUNO MARS It Will Rain | 12 | 6462 | -1061 | 37,908 | - | -2,52 | -277 | 12 | 6014 | -959 | 32,732 | 13 | KATY PERRY The One That Got Away | 13 | 6200 | -1110 | 37,143 | - | -4,411 | -186 | 13 | 5561 | 1006 | 32,449 | 14 | SNOOP DOGG & WIZ KHALIFA FEAT. BRUNO MARS Young, Wild & Free | 11 | 6585 | 1082 | 40,709 | - | -8,26 | -1024 | 14 | 5123 | -100 | 29,906 | 16 | LMFAO Sexy And I Know It | 15 | 5502 | -177 | 34,423 | - | -4,517 | -379 | 15 | 4965 | -851 | 28,806 | 17 | SELENA GOMEZ & THE SCENE Love You Like A Love Song | 18 | 5062 | -1113 | 32,375 | - | -3,569 | -97 | 16 | 4841 | 1468 | 30,153 | 15 | KATY PERRY Part Of Me | 14 | 5858 | 2239 | 37,987 | - | -7,834 | -1017 | 17 | 4751 | 391 | 22,875 | 18 | OUTASIGHT Tonight Is The Night | 17 | 5339 | 378 | 27,093 | - | -4,218 | -588 | 18 | 4571 | 717 | 33,061 | 11 | DRAKE FEAT. RIHANNA Take Care | 16 | 5374 | 833 | 40,057 | - | -6,996 | -803 | 19 | 3517 | 76 | 13,095 | 26 | LMFAO Sorry For Party Rocking | 19 | 3969 | 66 | 15,548 | - | -2,453 | -452 | 20 | 2810 | -1022 | 13,898 | 24 | BREATHE CAROLINA Blackout | 24 | 2643 | -1284 | 13,946 | - | -0,048 | 167 | 21 | 2669 | 779 | 13,557 | 25 | CHRIS BROWN Turn Up The Music | 20 | 3440 | 919 | 17,605 | - | -4,048 | -771 | 22 | 2647 | 1016 | 20,371 | 19 | CALVIN HARRIS Feel So Close | 21 | 3337 | 1179 | 25,234 | - | -4,863 | -690 | 23 | 2389 | 411 | 9,482 | 27 | TRAIN Drive By | 23 | 2675 | 428 | 11,234 | - | -1,752 | -286 | 24 | 2263 | 834 | 15,418 | 21 | NICKI MINAJ Starships | 22 | 3094 | 1834 | 20,303 | - | -4,885 | -831 | 25 | 2218 | -982 | 15,658 | 20 | JAY-Z & KANYE WEST Ni**as in Paris | 27 | 2398 | -1015 | 16,084 | - | -0,426 | -180 | 26 | 2082 | 764 | 15,416 | 22 | FLO RIDA FEAT. SIA Wild Ones | 25 | 2560 | 960 | 19,055 | - | -3,639 | -478 | 27 | 2042 | -503 | 13,942 | 23 | J. COLE Work Out | 28 | 2134 | -489 | 16,265 | - | -2,323 | -92 | 28 | 2020 | -434 | 8,324 | 28 | MADONNA FEAT. NICKI MINAJ & M.I.A. Give Me All Your Luvin' | 29 | 1995 | -791 | 8,537 | - | -0,213 | 25 | 29 | 1751 | 120 | 8,316 | 29 | COLDPLAY Princess Of China | 30 | 1932 | 137 | 9,467 | - | -1,151 | -181 | 30 | 1538 | -52 | 5,912 | 32 | JOJO Disaster | 31 | 1713 | -262 | 7,102 | - | -1,19 | -175 |
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Member Since: 6/22/2011
Posts: 218
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
We Are Young is clearly the breakthrough act of this year.. Maybe it will become the RITD of 2012, that huge!
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the song is huge, no doubt. and the song/group really did come out of nowhere, but don't undermine rolling in the deep's popularity. this is more like pumped up kicks. not rolling in the deep.
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Member Since: 12/4/2011
Posts: 1,338
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YES Carrie and Kelly!!! I don't get this 'The Wanted' obsession, I see nothing special with them.
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Member Since: 8/29/2011
Posts: 34,052
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Quote:
Originally posted by FX07
the song is huge, no doubt. and the song/group really did come out of nowhere, but don't undermine rolling in the deep's popularity. this is more like pumped up kicks. not rolling in the deep.
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But RITD's success was hugely unexpected too...if there's a song this year that could equal it, my bet is on WAY.
Nice avi btw
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Member Since: 6/3/2011
Posts: 14,194
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Quote:
Originally posted by FX07
the song is huge, no doubt. and the song/group really did come out of nowhere, but don't undermine rolling in the deep's popularity. this is more like pumped up kicks. not rolling in the deep.
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When did PUK sell 300K per week?
I think it's closer to RITD.
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Member Since: 12/8/2011
Posts: 9,050
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ger-55
We Are Young is clearly the breakthrough act of this year.. Maybe it will become the RITD of 2012, that huge!
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This is really possible, radio just needs to pick this up faster
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ATRL Administrator
Member Since: 6/29/2002
Posts: 77,601
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Sales estimates
1. Fun. - We Are Young: 322810
2. The Wanted - Glad You Came: 216305
3. Kelly Clarkson - Stronger: 214511
4. Nicki Minaj - Starships: 166690
5. Gotye - Somebody That I Used to Know: 156802
6. ADELE - Set Fire to the Rain: 153160
7. Far East Movement - Live My Life: 148965
8. Katy Perry - Part of Me: 148056
9. Carrie Underwood - Good Girl: 135236
10. Snoop Dogg & Wiz Khalifa - Young, Wild & Free: 110959
11. Flo Rida - Wild Ones: 105680
12. B.o.B - So Good: 102992
13. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe: 101418
14. Tyga - Rack City: 101107
15. LMFAO - Sexy and I Know It: 96053
16. Drake - The Motto: 88965
17. David Guetta & Nicki Minaj - Turn Me On: 88948
18. Train - Drive By: 88018
19. Drake - Take Care: 86929
20. Pitbull - International Love: 77677
21. Adele - Rolling In the Deep: 76855
22. Chris Brown - Turn Up the Music: 74374
23. ADELE - Someone Like You: 70558
24. Flo Rida - Good Feeling: 70233
25. Coldplay - Paradise: 67721
26. Gym Class Heroes - Ass Back Home: 66201
27. ADELE - Rumour Has It: 64752
28. One Direction - What Makes You Beautiful: 64730
29. Jessie J - Domino: 64375
30. Rihanna - We Found Love: 62135
31. LMFAO - Party Rock Anthem: 61187
32. Kanye West & JAY Z - Ni**as in Paris: 58254
33. Christina Perri - A Thousand Years: 57344
34. Jason Mraz - I Won't Give Up: 56416
35. Calvin Harris - Feel So Close: 52942
36. Miranda Lambert - Over You: 51709
37. Outasight - Tonight Is the Night: 50222
38. Gavin DeGraw - Not Over You: 48718
39. LMFAO - Sorry for Party Rocking: 47897
40. Lee Brice - A Woman Like You: 47168
41. Bruno Mars - It Will Rain: 44005
42. Taylor Swift - Safe & Sound: 43549
43. Big Sean - Dance: 43353
44. Usher - Climax: 42944
45. Luke Bryan - I Don't Want This Night to End: 42233
46. Skrillex - Bangarang: 42166
47. Nicki Minaj - Roman Reloaded: 42078
48. Maroon 5 - Moves Like Jagger: 41663
49. Kip Moore - Somethin' 'Bout a Truck: 40704
50. The Monkees - Daydream Believer: 40046
Hot 100 prediction
1-2. We Are Young (323 + 32 = 355)
1-2. Stronger (215 + 130 = 345)
3. Set Fire To The Rain (153 + 160 = 313)
4. Glad You Came (216 + 61 = 277)
5. Part Of Me (148 + 65 = 213)
6. Starships (167 + 36 = 203)
7-9. Young, Wild & Free (111 + 81 = 192)
7-9. Turn Me On (89 + 101 = 190)
7-9. Somebody That I Used To Know (157 + 29 = 186)
10. Take Care (87 + 89 = 176)
We Found Love (62 + 106 = 168)
The Motto (89 + 78 = 167)
Good Feeling (70 + 94 = 164)
Good Girl (135 + 25 = 160)
Rack City (101 + 57 = 158)
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Member Since: 12/28/2011
Posts: 13,440
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Still predicting WAY for 322k?! Daaaamn. I hope not. Lol.. I'm gonna need them to stay around 295k and take a backseat to Kelly for just one more week. Then they can have all the weeks they want, haha.
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Member Since: 1/27/2012
Posts: 15,057
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Close. I do hope Fun. gets it, even though I'd love Kelly to have 4 weeks.
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