#1 debut is kind of impossible at this point. The competition right now isn't that big, but people like Taylor are still selling 25K. Dr. Dre and Luke Bryan will also probably sell a lot. For a top 10 she doesn't need that much though, which is good. If she sells anything more than 20K, she's good. I don't expect anything more since Marina (that has a bigger fanbase by miles) sold around 40K copies of her last release.
That being said, top 10 looks very likely and this has been steady with the pre-orders. I'm perched on the HDD thread
