Frank isn't getting an AOTY nom. He screwed his label and released the album indie plus the hype died down FAST. This definitely gives her a good shot at Urban Contemporary, however it only slightly improves her chances at an AOTY spot.
25 and Lemonade are the only surefire nominees. It is
that competitive this year.
Then you have:
David Bowie/Paul Simon... it's not even guaranteed that either of them will get a nom but usually the older rock crowd manages to make it.
Radiohead
A country album for diversity
Drake and
maaaaybe Chance the Rapper
Then I think you get to ANTI, which is on-par with a lot of other albums. So you could say it's in

7th place

but it's there with like ten other options
