So the states Obama needs to win are basically,
The "safe" blue states
California (55)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois(20)
Maine (4)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
Michigan (16)
New Jersey (14)
New Mexico (5)
New York (29)
Oregon (7)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3) PROJECTED TO WIN
Washington (12)
Washington D.C. (3)
MUST
Wisconsin (10)
Pennsylvania (20)
Ohio. (18)
And either one or two of these: 15 needed
Iowa (6)
Colorado (9)
Nevada (6)
Virginia (13)
New Hampshire (4)
Florida (29).
So that's 3. 269 to go.
repost.
Obama can afford to lose both Virginia and Florida if he wins Ohio.