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Movie: Box Office Thread
Member Since: 3/27/2010
Posts: 6,259
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Quote:
Originally posted by Twai
It will absolutely beat HP. I wouldn't be surprised if it beats Avatar for all-time too.
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You truly don't understand boxoffice. It won't have a single chance to beat Avatar
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Member Since: 12/9/2007
Posts: 9,007
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Quote:
Originally posted by JasperX
It won't have a single chance to beat Avatar
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THIS. The film will open with the biggest opening week ever, but there's no chance it will beat Avatar. It might not even match the success of TDK.
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ATRL Senior Member
Member Since: 9/26/2001
Posts: 22,475
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Calling it right now: TDKR will shatter DHP2's opening weekend record. I'm even thinking that it could come close to $200 million.
Quote:
Originally posted by GRADUAT10N
THIS. The film will open with the biggest opening week ever, but there's no chance it will beat Avatar. It might not even match the success of TDK.
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Yeah, it's not going to beat Avatar. But TDK would be within reach if TDKR breaks Potter's opening weekend record. TDK had huge legs, and I expect that a Batman film of similar quality would have similar legs...it could do $500m+ domestic.
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Member Since: 11/29/2010
Posts: 19,102
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I didn't even see the first one until almost two years after release.
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Member Since: 6/25/2011
Posts: 28,853
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What is this obsession with people wanting this to "beat" HP? HP only attracts certain people (fans of the books/series) to the theaters, while TDKR is a film the general public would see.
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Member Since: 10/13/2009
Posts: 3,382
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Damn!!!
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Member Since: 6/25/2011
Posts: 28,853
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Quote:
Originally posted by Twai
It will absolutely beat HP. I wouldn't be surprised if it beats Avatar for all-time too.
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 10/3/2010
Posts: 12,334
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TDKR will do $190,000,000 opening weekend. Opening day, probably 85-90 mill (including 45 midnight)
When all is said and done though, it'll crack $450,000,000 at best. The word of mouth will be strong, but it'll be a front-loaded release like no other
It'll struggle to hit $1,000,000,000 WW though. Batman is like Superman, he's not very well-embraced worldwide
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ATRL Contributor
Member Since: 3/13/2011
Posts: 9,521
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It depends on the critics. If its hailed then it'll do $1B, but if the reviews aren't OTT ecstatic, it'll do much less.
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Member Since: 7/19/2009
Posts: 16,809
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Quote:
Originally posted by Dizagaox
It depends on the critics. If its hailed then it'll do $1B, but if the reviews aren't OTT ecstatic, it'll do much less.
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This.
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Member Since: 4/23/2007
Posts: 16,416
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Yeah, Batman is huge in the US, but WW not so much. It won't get near the total gross of Harry Potter WW, it may beat it in America. Avatar is not even a question.
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Member Since: 5/27/2010
Posts: 37,025
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Quote:
Originally posted by Shape
TDKR will do $190,000,000 opening weekend. Opening day, probably 85-90 mill (including 45 midnight)
When all is said and done though, it'll crack $450,000,000 at best. The word of mouth will be strong, but it'll be a front-loaded release like no other
It'll struggle to hit $1,000,000,000 WW though. Batman is like Superman, he's not very well-embraced worldwide
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Quote:
Originally posted by Dancefloor
Yeah, Batman is huge in the US, but WW not so much. It won't get near the total gross of Harry Potter WW, it may beat it in America. Avatar is not even a question.
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Nah, TDK ended up crossing $1B, and the ratio of gross that comes from foreign markets has only gone up since then. Watch out if this gets released in China.
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Banned
Member Since: 11/24/2009
Posts: 61,404
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Quote:
Originally posted by Twai
I wouldn't be surprised if it beats Avatar for all-time too.
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It won't do it domestically.
And it certainly won't do it WW.
Most of TDK's grosses came from the US. Granted when you do 500M+ in the US that's tough to beat, but still.
TDK foreign gross: $468,576,467
Great but not unbeatable.
Compare it to:
Mamma Mia foreign gross: $465,711,574
Ice Age 3 foreign gross: $690,113,112
Batman is kinda local
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Member Since: 12/21/2010
Posts: 51,088
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Quote:
Originally posted by Twai
It will absolutely beat HP. I wouldn't be surprised if it beats Avatar for all-time too.
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Lack of 3D will keep it at 3 at the highest (as Titanic is getting the 3D re-release this year).
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Member Since: 2/16/2010
Posts: 69,775
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No one knows how front-loaded TDKR will be yet. It depends on how it good it is. The trailers look really promising.
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Member Since: 12/21/2010
Posts: 51,088
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Quote:
Originally posted by Red
Calling it right now: TDKR will shatter DHP2's opening weekend record. I'm even thinking that it could come close to $200 million.
Yeah, it's not going to beat Avatar. But TDK would be within reach if TDKR breaks Potter's opening weekend record. TDK had huge legs, and I expect that a Batman film of similar quality would have similar legs...it could do $500m+ domestic.
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Basically everything about this post. +1
The Year of The Batman.
Quote:
Originally posted by LightandDarkness
Reminds me of certain popstars. World-wide sales are high because of US numbers.
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Your avie.
Quote:
Originally posted by QueenBLadyG
What is this obsession with people wanting this to "beat" HP? HP only attracts certain people (fans of the books/series) to the theaters, while TDKR is a film the general public would see.
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Because (as much as I love HP) Bats >>> the Boy Wizard.
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Banned
Member Since: 11/24/2009
Posts: 61,404
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Nielsen predictions:
BEAUTY AND THE BEAST
Prediction: $24 Million (4 Day)
CONTRABAND
Prediction: $20 Million (4 day)
JOYFUL NOISE
Prediction: $18 Million (4 day)
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Member Since: 2/6/2010
Posts: 27,892
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Quote:
Originally posted by Nicole
Nielsen predictions:
BEAUTY AND THE BEAST
Prediction: $24 Million (4 Day)
CONTRABAND
Prediction: $20 Million (4 day)
JOYFUL NOISE
Prediction: $18 Million (4 day)
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Yaas Disney, get those sales.
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Banned
Member Since: 11/24/2009
Posts: 61,404
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Just got this:
This first holiday weekend of 2012 features two new openers and one sort-of new one. Right now it’s CONTRABAND in the lead, as it is on pace for a Friday gross in the $6-7 million range. For the 4-day weekend that should add up to a gross in the mid 20’s.
The 3D reissue of BEAUTY AND THE BEAST is neck-and-neck with CONTRABAND at the moment. Given the target audience though, it will likely end up a little lower on the day, in the $4-6 million range. That should add up to a 4-day gross right around $20 million.
JOYFUL NOISE will probably be in the same $4-6 million neighborhood as B&B for Friday, but since it won’t benefit as much from the kiddie shows, it will probably come in just behind them for the weekend.
In limited release there’s THE IRON LADY expanding to about 800 locations. It’s a little ahead of where TINKER, TAILOR, SOLDIER, SPY was last Friday (which had a similar expansion plan) and should end up in the $6-8 million neighborhood for the holiday weekend.
And here’s the object lesson for what happens when a movie gets an F grade from CinemaScore. THE DEVIL INSIDE is currently off 90% from last Friday at the same hour, which will probably mean a weekend drop in the 75-80% area. Expect the 4-day gross to be in the $7-9 million range, which is a mighty fall from the $34 million they did last weekend.
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Member Since: 4/23/2007
Posts: 16,416
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Quote:
Originally posted by Nicole
And here’s the object lesson for what happens when a movie gets an F grade from CinemaScore. THE DEVIL INSIDE is currently off 90% from last Friday at the same hour, which will probably mean a weekend drop in the 75-80% area. Expect the 4-day gross to be in the $7-9 million range, which is a mighty fall from the $34 million they did last weekend.
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The DROP is huge and THAT is why word of mouth is so important.
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