Quote:
Originally posted by Meowster
Keaton won all the critics awards and Golden Globes (both of which are influencial but not all that important in the actual race, sans a very lucky Marion Cotillard and Rosamund Pike this year).
Redmayne won the SAG and BAFTA, which have members that overlap with the Oscars.
It's neck and neck for BP with Boyhood and Birdman but I give BH the edge.
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Um, you are aware that Pike hit all 4 major precursors, yes? She was never in any danger because that category was so weak this year (and AMPAS was never going to watch Cake as much as deluded Aniston fans wanted to believe she had a chance)
Redmayne is the heavy favorite and Boyhood the slight favorite, I will agree.
The other above the line races tho.

I guess Adapted Screenplay is semi interesting but w/e. Very, very dull Oscar season.