[Save-Me-Oprah]

43. Hymn For The Weekend 91 (+8)

This is still a thing?

[Costea]

98. No Money 39 (re-entry)

this song is not good per-se, but it is insanely catchy

[dussymob]

Originally posted by Save-Me-Oprah

43. Hymn For The Weekend 91 (+8)

This is still a thing?

It's just now catching waves, what you mean.

[RiRi_Xtina15]

94. Sex With Me 40 (+3)

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by TattooedDreams

21-100 won't open

He opened the quote of the old predictions at the top of the page
Because the 2 collapse things had the same name. Changed the name and now it's working

Originally posted by VOSS

Lush Life out again

Will get a nice new peak the week after with the sales explosion.

[Robyn]

@simmnfierzig with CT decline in sales, does TIWYCF have a chance to sneak a week at #1?

[Walk_Away21]

Is Cold Water going to number 1 debut The streaming numbers are huge! Come through MO!

[Alena]

top 20 for Britney .

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by Robyn

@simmnfierzig with CT decline in sales, does TIWYCF have a chance to sneak a week at #1?

Have the gap at 63 points at the moment. That's 63k sales, so no?
TIWYCF is gaining a bit more on radio and on streaming both seems to be more or less stable in the early parts for next week.

Would be very surprised if CT doesn't get at least 3 weeks at #1. After that we will see.

[Ger-55]

Originally posted by Walk_Away21

Is Cold Water going to number 1 debut The streaming numbers are huge! Come through MO!

Sia has the edge because of the huge Airplay gap

[simmnfierzig]

Originally posted by Walk_Away21

Is Cold Water going to number 1 debut The streaming numbers are huge! Come through MO!

Have it estimated at 16 million streams. It would need ~22 million to debut at #1.
--> No.

Of course I don't have the final Youtube numbers and we don't get Apple Music numbers, but I'm not that wrong.

[slw84]

Originally posted by Save-Me-Oprah

43. Hymn For The Weekend 91 (+8)

This is still a thing?

Hot AC ha impact

[slw84]

Yeah Calvin won't hit #1 Taylor ha revenge but good on Cold water for being the next in line.

I'm loving the mixup

[s.mo]

#2 debut and maybe #1 in a few weeks (?)
glad this is smashing after everyone payed company dust

[Ger-55]

If Bieber gets his 4th #1 in less than a year

[NoMythologies]

Originally posted by simmnfierzig

No Mythologies slaying 2 more weeks

And thanks everyone for the predictions

Thanks!

I'm trying to do predictions for the top 50 now. Tried last week but ran out of time before finalizing. Don't know if I could ever do the full 100 tho.

[Ger-55]

2016 Building Year-End Chart
Week #36/52
(69% so far)

Rank	Change	Artist	Song	Total Points / Gain TW
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20	= = = = = +2 -1 -1 = = = +1 -1 = = = +1 +2 -2 -1	Justin Bieber Justin Bieber Adele twenty one pilots Rihanna Drake Desiigner Flo Rida Lukas Graham G-Eazy x Bebe Rexha ZAYN Mike Posner Drake Shawn Mendes DNCE Fifth Harmony The Chainsmokers Justin Timberlake Justin Bieber The Weeknd	"Sorry" "Love Yourself" "Hello" "Stressed Out" "Work (feat. Drake)" "One Dance (feat. Wizkid & Kyla)" "Panda" "My House" "7 Years" "Me, Myself & I" "PILLOWTALK" "I Took A Pill In Ibiza" "Hotline Bling" "Stitches" "Cake By The Ocean" "Work From Home (feat. Ty Dolla $ign)" "Don't Let Me Down (feat. Daya)" "CAN'T STOP THE FEELING!" "What Do You Mean?" "The Hills"	10,459 10,258 (+105) 9,740 7,805 (+115) 7,753 (+129) 6,369 (+344) 6,326 (+217) 6,184 (+100) 5,740 (+121) 5,505 5,278 5,243 (+158) 5,219 5,024 5,010 (+99) 4,979 (+169) 4,461 (+280) 4,276 (+310) 4,199 4,126

[Dekkan]

Originally posted by RihsusChrist(ATG)

So basically it's next 2 weeks or never for TIWYCF (if it gets discounted) to go #1 because "Cold Water" will get it afterwards?

In my opinion, yes. Today I would say 3-4 weeks for Cheap Thrills at the top and then Cold Water.

But if Drake suddenly releases One Dance video... who knows what could happen

[Ger-55]

Estimated % Influence of Components on Hot 100:

1. Cheap Thrills = 34% Sales + 37% Airplay + 29% Streaming
2. One Dance = 16% Sales + 43% Airplay + 41% Streaming
3. This Is What You Came For = 20% Sales + 35% Airplay + 45% Streaming
4. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! = 28% Sales + 45% Airplay + 27% Streaming
5. Don't Let Me Down = 18% Sales + 41% Airplay + 41% Streaming
6. Ride = 22% Sales + 42% Airplay + 36% Streaming
7. Needed Me = 16% Sales + 30% Airplay + 54% Streaming
8. Don't Mind = 19% Sales + 35% Airplay + 46% Streaming
9. Panda = 12% Sales + 14% Airplay + 74% Streaming
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) = 25% Sales + 41% Airplay + 34% Streaming

11. Rise = 73% Sales + 7% Airplay + 20% Streaming
12. Just Like Fire = 23% Sales + 57% Airplay + 20% Streaming
13. Work From Home = 13% Sales + 28% Airplay + 59% Streaming
14. Me Too = 36% Sales + 22% Airplay + 42% Streaming
15. H.O.L.Y. = 36% Sales + 31% Airplay + 33% Streaming
16. I Took A Pill In Ibiza = 15% Sales + 39% Airplay + 46% Streaming
17. Make Me... = 61% Sales + 12% Airplay + 27% Streaming
18. Controlla = 16% Sales + 33% Airplay + 51% Streaming
19. For Free = 19% Sales + 32% Airplay + 49% Streaming
20. Too Good = 21% Sales + 23% Airplay + 56% Streaming

So for the Top 20 this week = 26% Sales + 33% Airplay + 41% Streaming

Streaming > Airplay > Sales

[Ger-55]

Hot 100 Pre-Streaming Era Top 10: (old formula)

1. Cheap Thrills = 264
2. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! = 234
3. One Dance = 211
4. This Is What You Came For = 189
5. Don't Let Me Down = 170
6. Ride = 167
7. Rise = 151
8. Just Like Fire = 150
9. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) = 141
10. Don't Mind = 123