I don't think Jay-Z will be a threat. She will be going against his third week. His albums usually hold up well but he doesn't have a single out this time around and because of his deal with Samsung, 1 million free copies will be given away, which will probably hurt his longevity, at least in the first few weeks.
On the other hand, Chris Brown won't be a threat and that's a fact. His album drops a week before Selena's but his previous did 40k in the second week with a top 10 single on the Hot 100 and a huge urban smash, two things he doesn't have with this record. I'm not sure if his team will even allow him to promote and just force him to keep a low profile since he assaulted that girl at the night club this week.