awardscircuit has this predictions as of oct 31st
Annette Bening – “20th Century Women“
2.Natalie Portman – “Jackie“
3.Emma Stone – “La La Land“
4.Jessica Chastain – “Miss Sloane”
5.Ruth Negga – “Loving“
THE NEXT FIVE
6.Meryl Streep – “Florence Foster Jenkins“
7.Amy Adams – “Arrival“
8.Taraji P. Henson – “Hidden Figures”
9.Isabelle Huppert – “Elle“
10.Marion Cotillard – “Allied”
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS
11.Jennifer Lawrence – “Passengers”
12.Rebecca Hall – “Christine”
13.Rachel Weisz – “Denial”
14.Kate Beckinsale – “Love & Friendship”
15.Amy Adams – “Nocturnal Animals“
16.Emily Blunt – “The Girl on the Train“
17.Sally Field – “Hello My Name is Doris”
18.Susan Sarandon – “The Meddler“
19.Kate Winslet – “The Dressmaker”
20.Sonia Bragga – “Aquarius”
Quote:
|
UPDATED – OCTOBER 31, 2016 – Viola Davis enters this category, after a submission to SAG in Supporting Actress. With that, it can be very tempting to say that this is all said and done but first, the movie needs to be released and liked. Secondly, Oscar needs to buy the categorization. Naomie Harris could still come on strong with the precursors while Nicole Kidman achieves great heights in “Lion.” Starting to get a suspicion that Michelle Williams could end up missing out in the end a la Julianne Moore for “A Single Man.” Very little screen time, like the one Williams has, can be hard to overcome, especially if she’s not winning this time around.
|
1.Viola Davis – “Fences”
2.Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“
3.Nicole Kidman – “Lion“
4.Greta Gerwig – “20th Century Women“
5.Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“
THE NEXT FIVE
6.Molly Shannon – “Other People“
7.Janelle Monae – “Hidden Figures”
8.Helen Mirren – “Eye in the Sky“
9.Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures”
10.Margo Martindale – “The Hollars“
So damn sad.